Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction

With the integration of Renewable Energy Resources (RERs), the Day-Ahead (DA) scheduling for the optimal operation of the integrated Isolated Microgrids (IMGs) may not be economically optimal in real time due to the prediction errors of multiple uncertainty sources. To compensate for prediction erro...

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Main Authors: Huihui He, Shengjun Huang, Yajie Liu, Tao Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2198846
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author Huihui He
Shengjun Huang
Yajie Liu
Tao Zhang
author_facet Huihui He
Shengjun Huang
Yajie Liu
Tao Zhang
author_sort Huihui He
collection DOAJ
description With the integration of Renewable Energy Resources (RERs), the Day-Ahead (DA) scheduling for the optimal operation of the integrated Isolated Microgrids (IMGs) may not be economically optimal in real time due to the prediction errors of multiple uncertainty sources. To compensate for prediction error, this paper proposes a Robust Model Predictive Control (RMPC) based on an interval prediction approach to optimize the real-time operation of the IMGs, which diminishes the influence from prediction error. The rolling optimization model in RMPC is formulated into the robust model to schedule operation with the consideration of the price of robustness. In addition, an Online Learning (OL) method for interval prediction is utilized in RMPC to predict the future information of the uncertainties of RERs and load, thereby limiting the uncertainty. A case study demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed with the better matching between demand and supply compared with the traditional Model Predictive Control (MPC) method and Hard Charging (HC) method.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2021-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-d9ed20949d4b459cbee54ccb42f9655d2025-02-03T01:25:10ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/21988462198846Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval PredictionHuihui He0Shengjun Huang1Yajie Liu2Tao Zhang3College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, Hunan, ChinaCollege of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, Hunan, ChinaCollege of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, Hunan, ChinaCollege of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, Hunan, ChinaWith the integration of Renewable Energy Resources (RERs), the Day-Ahead (DA) scheduling for the optimal operation of the integrated Isolated Microgrids (IMGs) may not be economically optimal in real time due to the prediction errors of multiple uncertainty sources. To compensate for prediction error, this paper proposes a Robust Model Predictive Control (RMPC) based on an interval prediction approach to optimize the real-time operation of the IMGs, which diminishes the influence from prediction error. The rolling optimization model in RMPC is formulated into the robust model to schedule operation with the consideration of the price of robustness. In addition, an Online Learning (OL) method for interval prediction is utilized in RMPC to predict the future information of the uncertainties of RERs and load, thereby limiting the uncertainty. A case study demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed with the better matching between demand and supply compared with the traditional Model Predictive Control (MPC) method and Hard Charging (HC) method.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2198846
spellingShingle Huihui He
Shengjun Huang
Yajie Liu
Tao Zhang
Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
title_full Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
title_fullStr Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
title_short Robust Model Predictive Control for Energy Management of Isolated Microgrids Based on Interval Prediction
title_sort robust model predictive control for energy management of isolated microgrids based on interval prediction
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/2198846
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AT shengjunhuang robustmodelpredictivecontrolforenergymanagementofisolatedmicrogridsbasedonintervalprediction
AT yajieliu robustmodelpredictivecontrolforenergymanagementofisolatedmicrogridsbasedonintervalprediction
AT taozhang robustmodelpredictivecontrolforenergymanagementofisolatedmicrogridsbasedonintervalprediction