Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects

Risk management in construction projects is a critical process aimed at identifying, evaluating, and mitigating potential risks that could impact project performance. Preventive measures play a central role in this process, serving as proactive strategies to minimize the likelihood and impact of ris...

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Main Authors: Aleksandar Senić, Marija Ivanović, Momčilo Dobrodolac, Zoran Stojadinović
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Mathematics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/278
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author Aleksandar Senić
Marija Ivanović
Momčilo Dobrodolac
Zoran Stojadinović
author_facet Aleksandar Senić
Marija Ivanović
Momčilo Dobrodolac
Zoran Stojadinović
author_sort Aleksandar Senić
collection DOAJ
description Risk management in construction projects is a critical process aimed at identifying, evaluating, and mitigating potential risks that could impact project performance. Preventive measures play a central role in this process, serving as proactive strategies to minimize the likelihood and impact of risks on project outcomes. This study involved 37 experts from multidisciplinary fields related to road infrastructure, ensuring a diverse and comprehensive perspective on risk evaluation and prevention. The DELPHI method was employed to systematically define key risks and their corresponding preventive measures, providing a structured foundation for further analysis. The experts evaluated 302 preventive measures across 56 risks using 4 predefined criteria: implementation costs, time required for implementation, implementation complexity, and probability of success. A multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) approach was then applied to analyze these evaluations, enabling the prioritization of preventive measures and the allocation of resources toward the most effective strategies. Additionally, fuzzy logic was employed to analyze and validate the results, providing a complementary approach to the MCDM methodology. The results of this research provide a robust framework for risk management, offering practical guidance for decision makers in the construction industry. By integrating expert judgment, systematic evaluation, and advanced analytical methods, this study delivers actionable insights and establishes a reliable methodology for enhancing the effectiveness of risk mitigation in road infrastructure projects.
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spelling doaj-art-d697add6aaee4ef18a81035ec6c4a0482025-01-24T13:40:00ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902025-01-0113227810.3390/math13020278Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure ProjectsAleksandar Senić0Marija Ivanović1Momčilo Dobrodolac2Zoran Stojadinović3Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaRisk management in construction projects is a critical process aimed at identifying, evaluating, and mitigating potential risks that could impact project performance. Preventive measures play a central role in this process, serving as proactive strategies to minimize the likelihood and impact of risks on project outcomes. This study involved 37 experts from multidisciplinary fields related to road infrastructure, ensuring a diverse and comprehensive perspective on risk evaluation and prevention. The DELPHI method was employed to systematically define key risks and their corresponding preventive measures, providing a structured foundation for further analysis. The experts evaluated 302 preventive measures across 56 risks using 4 predefined criteria: implementation costs, time required for implementation, implementation complexity, and probability of success. A multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) approach was then applied to analyze these evaluations, enabling the prioritization of preventive measures and the allocation of resources toward the most effective strategies. Additionally, fuzzy logic was employed to analyze and validate the results, providing a complementary approach to the MCDM methodology. The results of this research provide a robust framework for risk management, offering practical guidance for decision makers in the construction industry. By integrating expert judgment, systematic evaluation, and advanced analytical methods, this study delivers actionable insights and establishes a reliable methodology for enhancing the effectiveness of risk mitigation in road infrastructure projects.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/278risk managementpreventive measuresDelphi methodmulti-criteria decision makingroad infrastructure
spellingShingle Aleksandar Senić
Marija Ivanović
Momčilo Dobrodolac
Zoran Stojadinović
Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
Mathematics
risk management
preventive measures
Delphi method
multi-criteria decision making
road infrastructure
title Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
title_full Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
title_fullStr Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
title_full_unstemmed Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
title_short Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects
title_sort prioritization of preventive measures a multi criteria approach to risk mitigation in road infrastructure projects
topic risk management
preventive measures
Delphi method
multi-criteria decision making
road infrastructure
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/278
work_keys_str_mv AT aleksandarsenic prioritizationofpreventivemeasuresamulticriteriaapproachtoriskmitigationinroadinfrastructureprojects
AT marijaivanovic prioritizationofpreventivemeasuresamulticriteriaapproachtoriskmitigationinroadinfrastructureprojects
AT momcilodobrodolac prioritizationofpreventivemeasuresamulticriteriaapproachtoriskmitigationinroadinfrastructureprojects
AT zoranstojadinovic prioritizationofpreventivemeasuresamulticriteriaapproachtoriskmitigationinroadinfrastructureprojects