Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience

Researchers are increasingly using machine learning to study physiological markers of emotion. We evaluated the promises and limitations of this approach via a big team science competition. Twelve teams competed to predict self-reported affective experiences using a multi-modal set of peripheral ner...

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Main Authors: Nicholas A. Coles, Bartosz Perz, Maciej Behnke, Johannes C. Eichstaedt, Soo Hyung Kim, Tu N. Vu, Chirag Raman, Julian Tejada, Van-Thong Huynh, Guangyi Zhang, Tanming Cui, Sharanyak Podder, Rushi Chavda, Shubham Pandey, Arpit Upadhyay, Jorge I. Padilla-Buritica, Carlos J. Barrera Causil, Linying Ji, Felix Dollack, Kiyoshi Kiyokawa, Huakun Liu, Monica Perusquia-Hernandez, Hideaki Uchiyama, Xin Wei, Houwei Cao, Ziqing Yang, Alessia Iancarelli, Kieran McVeigh, Yiyu Wang, Isabel M. Berwian, Jamie C. Chiu, Dan-Mircea Mirea, Erik C. Nook, Henna I. Vartiainen, Claire Whiting, Young Won Cho, Sy-Miin Chow, Zachary F. Fisher, Yanling Li, Xiaoyue Xiong, Yuqi Shen, Enzo Tagliazucchi, Leandro A. Bugnon, Raydonal Ospina, Nicolas M. Bruno, Tomas A. D'Amelio, Federico Zamberlan, Luis R. Mercado Diaz, Javier O. Pinzon-Arenas, Hugo F. Posada-Quintero, Maneesh Bilalpur, Saurabh Hinduja, Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos, Shaun Canavan, Liza Jivnani, Stanisław Saganowski
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Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2025-06-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
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Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.241778
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author Nicholas A. Coles
Bartosz Perz
Maciej Behnke
Johannes C. Eichstaedt
Soo Hyung Kim
Tu N. Vu
Chirag Raman
Julian Tejada
Van-Thong Huynh
Guangyi Zhang
Tanming Cui
Sharanyak Podder
Rushi Chavda
Shubham Pandey
Arpit Upadhyay
Jorge I. Padilla-Buritica
Carlos J. Barrera Causil
Linying Ji
Felix Dollack
Kiyoshi Kiyokawa
Huakun Liu
Monica Perusquia-Hernandez
Hideaki Uchiyama
Xin Wei
Houwei Cao
Ziqing Yang
Alessia Iancarelli
Kieran McVeigh
Yiyu Wang
Isabel M. Berwian
Jamie C. Chiu
Dan-Mircea Mirea
Erik C. Nook
Henna I. Vartiainen
Claire Whiting
Young Won Cho
Sy-Miin Chow
Zachary F. Fisher
Yanling Li
Xiaoyue Xiong
Yuqi Shen
Enzo Tagliazucchi
Leandro A. Bugnon
Raydonal Ospina
Nicolas M. Bruno
Tomas A. D'Amelio
Federico Zamberlan
Luis R. Mercado Diaz
Javier O. Pinzon-Arenas
Hugo F. Posada-Quintero
Maneesh Bilalpur
Saurabh Hinduja
Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos
Shaun Canavan
Liza Jivnani
Stanisław Saganowski
author_facet Nicholas A. Coles
Bartosz Perz
Maciej Behnke
Johannes C. Eichstaedt
Soo Hyung Kim
Tu N. Vu
Chirag Raman
Julian Tejada
Van-Thong Huynh
Guangyi Zhang
Tanming Cui
Sharanyak Podder
Rushi Chavda
Shubham Pandey
Arpit Upadhyay
Jorge I. Padilla-Buritica
Carlos J. Barrera Causil
Linying Ji
Felix Dollack
Kiyoshi Kiyokawa
Huakun Liu
Monica Perusquia-Hernandez
Hideaki Uchiyama
Xin Wei
Houwei Cao
Ziqing Yang
Alessia Iancarelli
Kieran McVeigh
Yiyu Wang
Isabel M. Berwian
Jamie C. Chiu
Dan-Mircea Mirea
Erik C. Nook
Henna I. Vartiainen
Claire Whiting
Young Won Cho
Sy-Miin Chow
Zachary F. Fisher
Yanling Li
Xiaoyue Xiong
Yuqi Shen
Enzo Tagliazucchi
Leandro A. Bugnon
Raydonal Ospina
Nicolas M. Bruno
Tomas A. D'Amelio
Federico Zamberlan
Luis R. Mercado Diaz
Javier O. Pinzon-Arenas
Hugo F. Posada-Quintero
Maneesh Bilalpur
Saurabh Hinduja
Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos
Shaun Canavan
Liza Jivnani
Stanisław Saganowski
author_sort Nicholas A. Coles
collection DOAJ
description Researchers are increasingly using machine learning to study physiological markers of emotion. We evaluated the promises and limitations of this approach via a big team science competition. Twelve teams competed to predict self-reported affective experiences using a multi-modal set of peripheral nervous system measures. Models were trained and tested in multiple ways: with data divided by participants, targeted emotion, inductions, and time. In 100% of tests, teams outperformed baseline models that made random predictions. In 46% of tests, teams also outperformed baseline models that relied on the simple average of ratings from training datasets. More notably, results uncovered a methodological challenge: multiplicative constraints on generalizability. Inferences about the accuracy and theoretical implications of machine learning efforts depended not only on their architecture, but also how they were trained, tested, and evaluated. For example, some teams performed better when tested on observations from the same (vs. different) subjects seen during training. Such results could be interpreted as evidence against claims of universality. However, such conclusions would be premature because other teams exhibited the opposite pattern. Taken together, results illustrate how big team science can be leveraged to understand the promises and limitations of machine learning methods in affective science and beyond.
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spelling doaj-art-b4426e0d364e46bfaece912508f4a8af2025-08-20T03:29:35ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032025-06-0112610.1098/rsos.241778Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experienceNicholas A. Coles0Bartosz Perz1Maciej Behnke2Johannes C. Eichstaedt3Soo Hyung Kim4Tu N. Vu5Chirag Raman6Julian Tejada7Van-Thong Huynh8Guangyi Zhang9Tanming Cui10Sharanyak Podder11Rushi Chavda12Shubham Pandey13Arpit Upadhyay14Jorge I. Padilla-Buritica15Carlos J. Barrera Causil16Linying Ji17Felix Dollack18Kiyoshi Kiyokawa19Huakun Liu20Monica Perusquia-Hernandez21Hideaki Uchiyama22Xin Wei23Houwei Cao24Ziqing Yang25Alessia Iancarelli26Kieran McVeigh27Yiyu Wang28Isabel M. Berwian29Jamie C. Chiu30Dan-Mircea Mirea31Erik C. Nook32Henna I. Vartiainen33Claire Whiting34Young Won Cho35Sy-Miin Chow36Zachary F. Fisher37Yanling Li38Xiaoyue Xiong39Yuqi Shen40Enzo Tagliazucchi41Leandro A. Bugnon42Raydonal Ospina43Nicolas M. Bruno44Tomas A. D'Amelio45Federico Zamberlan46Luis R. Mercado Diaz47Javier O. Pinzon-Arenas48Hugo F. Posada-Quintero49Maneesh Bilalpur50Saurabh Hinduja51Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos52Shaun Canavan53Liza Jivnani54Stanisław Saganowski55University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USAWrocław University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Województwo Dolnośląskie, PolandAdam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, PolandStanford University, Stanford, CA, USAChonnam National University, Gwangju, Jeollanam-do, Republic of KoreaChonnam National University, Gwangju, Jeollanam-do, Republic of KoreaDelft University of Technology, Delft, Zuid-Holland, The NetherlandsFederal University of Sergipe, Sao Cristovao, Sergipe, BrazilFPT University, Hanoi, VietnamHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USAIndependent Researcher, State College, PA, USAIndian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, IndiaIndian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, IndiaIndian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, IndiaIndian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, IndiaInstitución Universitaria ITM, Medellín, ColombiaInstitución Universitaria ITM, Medellín, ColombiaMontana State University, Bozeman, MT, USANara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNara Institute of Science and Technology, Ikoma, Nara, JapanNew York Institute of Technology, Old Westbury, NY, USANew York Institute of Technology, Old Westbury, NY, USANortheastern University—Boston Campus, Boston, MA, USANortheastern University—Boston Campus, Boston, MA, USANortheastern University—Boston Campus, Boston, MA, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAThe Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USAUniversidad Adolfo Ibanez, Penalolen, ChileResearch Institute for Signals, Systems and Computational Intelligence, sinc(i), FICH-UNL, CONICET, Santa Fe, ArgentinaUniversidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BrazilUniversity of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, ArgentinaUniversity of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, ArgentinaUniversity of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, ArgentinaUniversity of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USAUniversity of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USAUniversity of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USAUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USAUniversity of Akron, Akron, OH, USAFlinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, AustraliaUniversity of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USAUniversity of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USAWrocław University of Science and Technology, Wroclaw, Województwo Dolnośląskie, PolandResearchers are increasingly using machine learning to study physiological markers of emotion. We evaluated the promises and limitations of this approach via a big team science competition. Twelve teams competed to predict self-reported affective experiences using a multi-modal set of peripheral nervous system measures. Models were trained and tested in multiple ways: with data divided by participants, targeted emotion, inductions, and time. In 100% of tests, teams outperformed baseline models that made random predictions. In 46% of tests, teams also outperformed baseline models that relied on the simple average of ratings from training datasets. More notably, results uncovered a methodological challenge: multiplicative constraints on generalizability. Inferences about the accuracy and theoretical implications of machine learning efforts depended not only on their architecture, but also how they were trained, tested, and evaluated. For example, some teams performed better when tested on observations from the same (vs. different) subjects seen during training. Such results could be interpreted as evidence against claims of universality. However, such conclusions would be premature because other teams exhibited the opposite pattern. Taken together, results illustrate how big team science can be leveraged to understand the promises and limitations of machine learning methods in affective science and beyond.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.241778big team sciencemachine learningemotionphysiologygeneralizabilityaffective computing
spellingShingle Nicholas A. Coles
Bartosz Perz
Maciej Behnke
Johannes C. Eichstaedt
Soo Hyung Kim
Tu N. Vu
Chirag Raman
Julian Tejada
Van-Thong Huynh
Guangyi Zhang
Tanming Cui
Sharanyak Podder
Rushi Chavda
Shubham Pandey
Arpit Upadhyay
Jorge I. Padilla-Buritica
Carlos J. Barrera Causil
Linying Ji
Felix Dollack
Kiyoshi Kiyokawa
Huakun Liu
Monica Perusquia-Hernandez
Hideaki Uchiyama
Xin Wei
Houwei Cao
Ziqing Yang
Alessia Iancarelli
Kieran McVeigh
Yiyu Wang
Isabel M. Berwian
Jamie C. Chiu
Dan-Mircea Mirea
Erik C. Nook
Henna I. Vartiainen
Claire Whiting
Young Won Cho
Sy-Miin Chow
Zachary F. Fisher
Yanling Li
Xiaoyue Xiong
Yuqi Shen
Enzo Tagliazucchi
Leandro A. Bugnon
Raydonal Ospina
Nicolas M. Bruno
Tomas A. D'Amelio
Federico Zamberlan
Luis R. Mercado Diaz
Javier O. Pinzon-Arenas
Hugo F. Posada-Quintero
Maneesh Bilalpur
Saurabh Hinduja
Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos
Shaun Canavan
Liza Jivnani
Stanisław Saganowski
Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
Royal Society Open Science
big team science
machine learning
emotion
physiology
generalizability
affective computing
title Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
title_full Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
title_fullStr Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
title_full_unstemmed Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
title_short Big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
title_sort big team science reveals promises and limitations of machine learning efforts to model physiological markers of affective experience
topic big team science
machine learning
emotion
physiology
generalizability
affective computing
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.241778
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