Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network

Abstract An intelligent high‐definition and short‐term prediction of ionograms with/without Spread‐F for the observation at Hainan (19.5°N, 109.1°E, magnetic 11°N) is presented in this paper, which comprises a spatio‐temporal ConvGRU network and a super‐resolution EDSR network. Our prediction is bas...

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Main Authors: Pengdong Gao, Jinhui Cai, Zheng Wang, Chu Qiu, Guojun Wang, Quan Qi, Bo Wang, Jiankui Shi, Xiao Wang, Kai Ding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-01-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003727
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author Pengdong Gao
Jinhui Cai
Zheng Wang
Chu Qiu
Guojun Wang
Quan Qi
Bo Wang
Jiankui Shi
Xiao Wang
Kai Ding
author_facet Pengdong Gao
Jinhui Cai
Zheng Wang
Chu Qiu
Guojun Wang
Quan Qi
Bo Wang
Jiankui Shi
Xiao Wang
Kai Ding
author_sort Pengdong Gao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract An intelligent high‐definition and short‐term prediction of ionograms with/without Spread‐F for the observation at Hainan (19.5°N, 109.1°E, magnetic 11°N) is presented in this paper, which comprises a spatio‐temporal ConvGRU network and a super‐resolution EDSR network. Our prediction is based on spatio‐temporal features in the ionogram graph only. There are 469,227 ionograms classified into 5 categories, that is, frequency/range/mix/strong range/no Spread F, over a solar cycle (14 years) labeled manually by the research group, and we process these ionograms into two data sets for training the two networks mentioned above. A series of comprehensive experiments have been designed and conducted to determine the optimal super‐parameters. Our method inputs 8 consecutive authentic ionograms (lasting 2 hr) and generates the next 2 figures (next 30 min). Remarkably, all predicted figures achieve a high accuracy rate of over 94% in predicting the occurrence of Spread‐F.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1542-7390
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-b38295a2a54743c59a51c35447d205962025-01-14T16:26:56ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902024-01-01221n/an/a10.1029/2023SW003727Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural NetworkPengdong Gao0Jinhui Cai1Zheng Wang2Chu Qiu3Guojun Wang4Quan Qi5Bo Wang6Jiankui Shi7Xiao Wang8Kai Ding9Key Laboratory of Media Audio & Video (Communication University of China) Ministry of Education Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Media Audio & Video (Communication University of China) Ministry of Education Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Media Audio & Video (Communication University of China) Ministry of Education Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Media Audio & Video (Communication University of China) Ministry of Education Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Media Audio & Video (Communication University of China) Ministry of Education Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Space Science Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaAbstract An intelligent high‐definition and short‐term prediction of ionograms with/without Spread‐F for the observation at Hainan (19.5°N, 109.1°E, magnetic 11°N) is presented in this paper, which comprises a spatio‐temporal ConvGRU network and a super‐resolution EDSR network. Our prediction is based on spatio‐temporal features in the ionogram graph only. There are 469,227 ionograms classified into 5 categories, that is, frequency/range/mix/strong range/no Spread F, over a solar cycle (14 years) labeled manually by the research group, and we process these ionograms into two data sets for training the two networks mentioned above. A series of comprehensive experiments have been designed and conducted to determine the optimal super‐parameters. Our method inputs 8 consecutive authentic ionograms (lasting 2 hr) and generates the next 2 figures (next 30 min). Remarkably, all predicted figures achieve a high accuracy rate of over 94% in predicting the occurrence of Spread‐F.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003727Spread‐Fpredictionionogram sequenceionogram generationspatio‐temporal neural network
spellingShingle Pengdong Gao
Jinhui Cai
Zheng Wang
Chu Qiu
Guojun Wang
Quan Qi
Bo Wang
Jiankui Shi
Xiao Wang
Kai Ding
Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
Space Weather
Spread‐F
prediction
ionogram sequence
ionogram generation
spatio‐temporal neural network
title Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
title_full Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
title_fullStr Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
title_short Prediction of Ionograms With/Without Spread‐F at Hainan by a Combined Spatio‐Temporal Neural Network
title_sort prediction of ionograms with without spread f at hainan by a combined spatio temporal neural network
topic Spread‐F
prediction
ionogram sequence
ionogram generation
spatio‐temporal neural network
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003727
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