Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate

We study the potential value to stakeholders of probabilistic long-term forecasts, as quantified by the mean information gain of the forecast compared to climatology. We use as a case study the USA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts of 3-month temperature and precipitation anomalies made at 0...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nir Y. Krakauer, Michael D. Grossberg, Irina Gladkova, Hannah Aizenman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/480210
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