Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events
Abstract This work explores dynamical arguments for statistical prediction of stratospheric sudden warming events (SSWs). Based on climate model output, it focuses on two predictors, upward wave activity in the lower stratosphere and meridional potential vorticity gradient in the upper stratosphere,...
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| Main Authors: | M. Jucker, T. Reichler |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2018-12-01
|
| Series: | Geophysical Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691 |
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