Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events

Abstract This work explores dynamical arguments for statistical prediction of stratospheric sudden warming events (SSWs). Based on climate model output, it focuses on two predictors, upward wave activity in the lower stratosphere and meridional potential vorticity gradient in the upper stratosphere,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. Jucker, T. Reichler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-12-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691
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