Modeling Short-Term Drought for SPEI in Mainland China Using the XGBoost Model

Modeling Short-Term Drought for SPEI in Mainland China Using the XGBoost Model

Accurate drought prediction is crucial for optimizing water resource allocation, safeguarding agricultural productivity, and maintaining ecosystem stability. This study develops a methodological framework for short-term drought forecasting using SPEI time series (1979–2020) and evaluates three predi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fanchao Zeng, Qing Gao, Lifeng Wu, Zhilong Rao, Zihan Wang, Xinjian Zhang, Fuqi Yao, Jinwei Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
CPSO-XGBoost model
standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index
multi-timescale analysis
drought prediction
swarm intelligence optimization
China
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/4/419
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