Detection of surges of SARS-Cov-2 using nonparametric Hawkes models

Hawkes point process models have been shown to forecast the number of daily new cases of epidemic diseases, including SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19), with high accuracy. Here, we explore how accurately Hawkes models forecast surges of Covid-19 in the United States. We use Hawkes models to estimate the effect...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sophie Phillips, George Mohler, Frederic Schoenberg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Epidemics
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S175543652500012X
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