Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method

Accurate traffic flow prediction is increasingly essential for successful traffic modeling, operation, and management. Traditional data driven traffic flow prediction approaches have largely assumed restrictive (shallow) model architectures and do not leverage the large amount of environmental data...

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Main Authors: Yuhan Jia, Jianping Wu, Ming Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/6575947
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author Yuhan Jia
Jianping Wu
Ming Xu
author_facet Yuhan Jia
Jianping Wu
Ming Xu
author_sort Yuhan Jia
collection DOAJ
description Accurate traffic flow prediction is increasingly essential for successful traffic modeling, operation, and management. Traditional data driven traffic flow prediction approaches have largely assumed restrictive (shallow) model architectures and do not leverage the large amount of environmental data available. Inspired by deep learning methods with more complex model architectures and effective data mining capabilities, this paper introduces the deep belief network (DBN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict urban traffic flow considering the impact of rainfall. The rainfall-integrated DBN and LSTM can learn the features of traffic flow under various rainfall scenarios. Experimental results indicate that, with the consideration of additional rainfall factor, the deep learning predictors have better accuracy than existing predictors and also yield improvements over the original deep learning models without rainfall input. Furthermore, the LSTM can outperform the DBN to capture the time series characteristics of traffic flow data.
format Article
id doaj-art-913d94006abf4420a81528c554179233
institution Kabale University
issn 0197-6729
2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-913d94006abf4420a81528c5541792332025-02-03T05:45:48ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952017-01-01201710.1155/2017/65759476575947Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning MethodYuhan Jia0Jianping Wu1Ming Xu2Department of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaAccurate traffic flow prediction is increasingly essential for successful traffic modeling, operation, and management. Traditional data driven traffic flow prediction approaches have largely assumed restrictive (shallow) model architectures and do not leverage the large amount of environmental data available. Inspired by deep learning methods with more complex model architectures and effective data mining capabilities, this paper introduces the deep belief network (DBN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict urban traffic flow considering the impact of rainfall. The rainfall-integrated DBN and LSTM can learn the features of traffic flow under various rainfall scenarios. Experimental results indicate that, with the consideration of additional rainfall factor, the deep learning predictors have better accuracy than existing predictors and also yield improvements over the original deep learning models without rainfall input. Furthermore, the LSTM can outperform the DBN to capture the time series characteristics of traffic flow data.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/6575947
spellingShingle Yuhan Jia
Jianping Wu
Ming Xu
Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
title_full Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
title_fullStr Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
title_full_unstemmed Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
title_short Traffic Flow Prediction with Rainfall Impact Using a Deep Learning Method
title_sort traffic flow prediction with rainfall impact using a deep learning method
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/6575947
work_keys_str_mv AT yuhanjia trafficflowpredictionwithrainfallimpactusingadeeplearningmethod
AT jianpingwu trafficflowpredictionwithrainfallimpactusingadeeplearningmethod
AT mingxu trafficflowpredictionwithrainfallimpactusingadeeplearningmethod