Forecasting Asset Returns Using Nelson–Siegel Factors Estimated from the US Yield Curve

This paper explores the hypothesis that the returns of asset classes can be predicted using common, systematic risk factors represented by the level, slope, and curvature of the US interest rate term structure. These are extracted using the Nelson–Siegel model, which effectively captures the three d...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Massimo Guidolin, Serena Ionta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/13/2/17
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