The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy

Abstract The ECB updated its monetary policy strategy for the first time in 18 years in July 2021. Therein, the ECB announced that it is willing to accept a transitory period of moderate inflation overshoot in its efforts to push inflation upwards after a long period of undershooting its target. Thi...

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Main Author: Peter Hennecke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2021-10-01
Series:Intereconomics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1002-9
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author Peter Hennecke
author_facet Peter Hennecke
author_sort Peter Hennecke
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The ECB updated its monetary policy strategy for the first time in 18 years in July 2021. Therein, the ECB announced that it is willing to accept a transitory period of moderate inflation overshoot in its efforts to push inflation upwards after a long period of undershooting its target. This study explores whether such an overshoot can be economically justified employing a simple Phillips curve model. The results point to the conclusion that the average inflation rate over the business cycle consolidated about one percentage point below the ECB’s target rate. A temporary asymmetry of the ECB’s monetary strategy seems therefore justified to realign inflation and inflation expectations with the target rate.
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spelling doaj-art-83b1a4b751924537914f8014636c71f22025-01-17T08:34:13ZengSpringerIntereconomics0020-53461613-964X2021-10-0156529529810.1007/s10272-021-1002-9The ECB’s New Monetary Policy StrategyPeter Hennecke0Volkswirtschaftslehre, FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie & ManagementAbstract The ECB updated its monetary policy strategy for the first time in 18 years in July 2021. Therein, the ECB announced that it is willing to accept a transitory period of moderate inflation overshoot in its efforts to push inflation upwards after a long period of undershooting its target. This study explores whether such an overshoot can be economically justified employing a simple Phillips curve model. The results point to the conclusion that the average inflation rate over the business cycle consolidated about one percentage point below the ECB’s target rate. A temporary asymmetry of the ECB’s monetary strategy seems therefore justified to realign inflation and inflation expectations with the target rate.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1002-9
spellingShingle Peter Hennecke
The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
Intereconomics
title The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
title_full The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
title_fullStr The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
title_full_unstemmed The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
title_short The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy
title_sort ecb s new monetary policy strategy
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-1002-9
work_keys_str_mv AT peterhennecke theecbsnewmonetarypolicystrategy
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