Approaches regarding the Management of Food Policies in the Context of the African Swine Fever Crisis based on a Food Sustainability Statistical Model
Food policies are focused on ensuring the consumption needs of the existing population in a given territory. In general, food policies are built on food continuity and production based on a pool of natural resources available at a given time. Critical food security incidents, particularly the epi...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Editura ASE
2019-05-01
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| Series: | Amfiteatru Economic |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.amfiteatrueconomic.ro/temp/Article_2816.pdf |
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| Summary: | Food policies are focused on ensuring the consumption needs of the existing population in a
given territory. In general, food policies are built on food continuity and production based on a
pool of natural resources available at a given time. Critical food security incidents, particularly
the epidemiological crises in livestock farming from a geographical area can significantly affect
the population’s food resources and disrupt applicable local and national food policies. Thus in
some cases it is necessary to adopt food security plans and biosecurity procedures in order to
isolate outbreaks, and limit the spread of the epidemic, protect the unaffected food and mitigate
the negative impact of the crisis on the local sources of agro food production.
The main objective of the study was the analysis of food policies in Romania in the context of
the recent outbreak of African swine fever epidemic. Based on bibliographic documentation and
processing of official information on the effects of the epidemic on swine farms, the authors have
proposed a food sustainability statistical model with practical applicability in assessing and
quantifying the effects of African swine fever crisis in Romania. The results of the study showed
the possibility of statistical modelling of the national food security indicators in the event of
critical incidents in the agro-food chain. The model implementation simulation highlighted
potential beneficial economic effects by modifying Romania's food policies.
The research results are new at national level, with a potential positive impact on scientific
research in the field of economic and agro-food production. The designed statistical model
may be useful to economic operators and, in particular, to national authorities in order to
adjust food policies in critical food security situations, to limit the phenomena of destabilizing
the consumer market and to avoid possible economic disruptions due to crisis situations in
the livestock production sector. |
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| ISSN: | 1582-9146 2247-9104 |