Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019

ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate the effects of technological progress, education, and human capital on employment in the short and long run using an econometric ARDL model for the period 1960-2019 across developed and developing countries. The hypothesis was that technological progress destr...

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Main Authors: DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRA, GUILHERME JONAS COSTA DA SILVA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editora 34 2024-12-01
Series:Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572025000100204&lng=en&tlng=en
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author DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRA
GUILHERME JONAS COSTA DA SILVA
author_facet DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRA
GUILHERME JONAS COSTA DA SILVA
author_sort DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRA
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate the effects of technological progress, education, and human capital on employment in the short and long run using an econometric ARDL model for the period 1960-2019 across developed and developing countries. The hypothesis was that technological progress destroys jobs at a faster rate than investments in education and human capital can create. In the short run, the results confirmed the hypothesis that technological progress destroys relatively more jobs. However, in the long run, the results showed that the coefficients for education and human capital in developing countries outweighed those for technological progress, thus rejecting the hypothesis for this group of countries in the long run. For developed countries, coefficients for technological progress and investments in human capital were positive and significant.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1809-4538
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Editora 34
record_format Article
series Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
spelling doaj-art-6323f3008afa406cbf579987752ef0812025-01-07T07:38:25ZengEditora 34Brazilian Journal of Political Economy1809-45382024-12-0145110.1590/0101-31572025-3472Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4481-9750GUILHERME JONAS COSTA DA SILVAhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0947-0821ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate the effects of technological progress, education, and human capital on employment in the short and long run using an econometric ARDL model for the period 1960-2019 across developed and developing countries. The hypothesis was that technological progress destroys jobs at a faster rate than investments in education and human capital can create. In the short run, the results confirmed the hypothesis that technological progress destroys relatively more jobs. However, in the long run, the results showed that the coefficients for education and human capital in developing countries outweighed those for technological progress, thus rejecting the hypothesis for this group of countries in the long run. For developed countries, coefficients for technological progress and investments in human capital were positive and significant.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572025000100204&lng=en&tlng=enTechnological ProgressHuman CapitalEmployment
spellingShingle DAISY CAROLINE NASCIMENTO PEREIRA
GUILHERME JONAS COSTA DA SILVA
Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy
Technological Progress
Human Capital
Employment
title Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
title_full Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
title_fullStr Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
title_full_unstemmed Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
title_short Technological progress, human capital, and employment rate: an empirical analysis using P-ARDL models from 1960-2019
title_sort technological progress human capital and employment rate an empirical analysis using p ardl models from 1960 2019
topic Technological Progress
Human Capital
Employment
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572025000100204&lng=en&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT daisycarolinenascimentopereira technologicalprogresshumancapitalandemploymentrateanempiricalanalysisusingpardlmodelsfrom19602019
AT guilhermejonascostadasilva technologicalprogresshumancapitalandemploymentrateanempiricalanalysisusingpardlmodelsfrom19602019