Record Warmth of 2023 and 2024 was Highly Predictable and Resulted From ENSO Transition and Northern Hemisphere Absorbed Shortwave Anomalies

Abstract Global mean temperature rapidly warmed during 2023, making 2023 the second warmest year on record at 1.45°C above pre‐industrial climate, and 2024 became the first year on record to surpass 1.5°C. Here we explore the likelihood, mechanisms, and predictability of the rapid warming during 202...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Eduardo Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, Roberto Bilbao, Aaron Donohoe, Stefano Materia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-05-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115614
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