Forecasting Referendums: A Structural Model Predicting Adoption and Support in Irish Plebiscites 1968–2024

Election prediction flourishes among pollsters, the media, academics, and political anoraks, with four significant prognostic paradigms: opinion polls, markets, structural models, and hybrid approaches. Structural models, inspired by political science theory and based on so-called “fundamental” indi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Stephen Quinlan, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Matt Qvortrup
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cogitatio 2025-04-01
Series:Politics and Governance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/9378
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