Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.

<h4>Background</h4>Spatial data are often aggregated by area to protect the confidentiality of individuals and aid the calculation of pertinent risks and rates. However, the analysis of spatially aggregated data is susceptible to the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP), which arises whe...

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Main Authors: Farzana Jahan, Shovanur Haque, James Hogg, Aiden Price, Conor Hassan, Wala Areed, Helen Thompson, Jessica Cameron, Susanna M Cramb
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313079
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author Farzana Jahan
Shovanur Haque
James Hogg
Aiden Price
Conor Hassan
Wala Areed
Helen Thompson
Jessica Cameron
Susanna M Cramb
author_facet Farzana Jahan
Shovanur Haque
James Hogg
Aiden Price
Conor Hassan
Wala Areed
Helen Thompson
Jessica Cameron
Susanna M Cramb
author_sort Farzana Jahan
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Spatial data are often aggregated by area to protect the confidentiality of individuals and aid the calculation of pertinent risks and rates. However, the analysis of spatially aggregated data is susceptible to the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP), which arises when inference varies with boundary or aggregation changes. While the impact of the MAUP has been examined previously, typically these studies have focused on well-populated areas. Understanding how the MAUP behaves when data are sparse is particularly important for countries with less populated areas, such as Australia. This study aims to assess different geographical regions' vulnerability to the MAUP when data are relatively sparse to inform researchers' choice of aggregation level for fitting spatial models.<h4>Methods</h4>To understand the impact of the MAUP in Queensland, Australia, the present study investigates inference from simulated lung cancer incidence data using the five levels of spatial aggregation defined by the Australian Statistical Geography Standard. To this end, Bayesian spatial BYM models with and without covariates were fitted.<h4>Results and conclusion</h4>The MAUP impacted inference in the analysis of cancer counts for data aggregated to coarsest areal structures. However, area structures with moderate resolution were not greatly impacted by the MAUP, and offer advantages in terms of data sparsity, computational intensity and availability of data sets.
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spelling doaj-art-36ee1d43e8f34d90b9aa8746598a33db2025-02-05T05:31:59ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01201e031307910.1371/journal.pone.0313079Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.Farzana JahanShovanur HaqueJames HoggAiden PriceConor HassanWala AreedHelen ThompsonJessica CameronSusanna M Cramb<h4>Background</h4>Spatial data are often aggregated by area to protect the confidentiality of individuals and aid the calculation of pertinent risks and rates. However, the analysis of spatially aggregated data is susceptible to the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP), which arises when inference varies with boundary or aggregation changes. While the impact of the MAUP has been examined previously, typically these studies have focused on well-populated areas. Understanding how the MAUP behaves when data are sparse is particularly important for countries with less populated areas, such as Australia. This study aims to assess different geographical regions' vulnerability to the MAUP when data are relatively sparse to inform researchers' choice of aggregation level for fitting spatial models.<h4>Methods</h4>To understand the impact of the MAUP in Queensland, Australia, the present study investigates inference from simulated lung cancer incidence data using the five levels of spatial aggregation defined by the Australian Statistical Geography Standard. To this end, Bayesian spatial BYM models with and without covariates were fitted.<h4>Results and conclusion</h4>The MAUP impacted inference in the analysis of cancer counts for data aggregated to coarsest areal structures. However, area structures with moderate resolution were not greatly impacted by the MAUP, and offer advantages in terms of data sparsity, computational intensity and availability of data sets.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313079
spellingShingle Farzana Jahan
Shovanur Haque
James Hogg
Aiden Price
Conor Hassan
Wala Areed
Helen Thompson
Jessica Cameron
Susanna M Cramb
Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
PLoS ONE
title Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
title_full Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
title_fullStr Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
title_short Assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on Bayesian disease mapping in Queensland, Australia.
title_sort assessing the influence of the modifiable areal unit problem on bayesian disease mapping in queensland australia
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313079
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