Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience

Background: Determining the predictors of mortality in COVID-19 is a way of identifying high-risk patients. Previous studies reported comorbidities and old age as the essential components of COVID-19 mortality. The present study aimed to determine the predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-1...

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Main Authors: Latife Jabbari, Leila AzizKhani, Saman Shamsipour, Saeed Hayati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences 2024-12-01
Series:Disease and Diagnosis
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Online Access:https://ddj.hums.ac.ir/PDF/ddj-13-139.pdf
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author Latife Jabbari
Leila AzizKhani
Saman Shamsipour
Saeed Hayati
author_facet Latife Jabbari
Leila AzizKhani
Saman Shamsipour
Saeed Hayati
author_sort Latife Jabbari
collection DOAJ
description Background: Determining the predictors of mortality in COVID-19 is a way of identifying high-risk patients. Previous studies reported comorbidities and old age as the essential components of COVID-19 mortality. The present study aimed to determine the predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19 referred to the emergency department. Materials and Methods: The present descriptive-analytical study was conducted retrospectively on patients with confirmed COVID-19 referred to the Emergency Department of Shahid Mohammadi Hospital, Bandar Abbas, in 2019. Patient information, including age, gender, underlying disease, history of smoking, clinical symptoms, type of treatment, and laboratory findings, was extracted from the COVID registry. Results: In general, 2478 patients with COVID-19 were examined in this study. The average age of the patients was 52.57±16.41 years. Of them, 1371 people (55.3%) were men. The most common clinical symptom of the patients was shortness of breath (63.2%), and the most common underlying disease was hypertension (HTN) (24.3%). About 16.9% of the examined COVID-19 patients died. According to the results of multiple logistic regression analysis, with a 1-year increase in the age of the patients, the chance of death increased by 4.7% (P<0.001). In addition, dyspnea, HTN, ischemic heart disease, dyslipidemia, stroke, and malignancy increased the probability of death by 2.4, 1.6, 1.7, 3.6, 2.9, and 2.2 times, respectively (P<0.05). The most important predictor of mortality was C-reactive protein (CRP) 3+, which increased the probability of mortality in COVID-19 patients by almost 25 times (odds ratio [OR]=25.338, 95% CI=1.978–324.668, P=0.013). Moreover, with each unit increase in erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), the chance of death in patients increased by 3.3% (P<0.001). On the other hand, among the clinical symptoms, anorexia (OR=0.711, 95% CI=0.506–0.999, P=0.050) and receiving macrolides (OR=0.212, 95% CI=0.091–0.492, P<0.001) had a protective role in mortality. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study, old age, dyspnea, HTN, ischemic heart disease, dyslipidemia, stroke, malignancy, CRP 3+, and high ESR were identified as predictors of mortality in COVID-19 patients. Of course, receiving macrolide and the presence of anorexia played a protective role in mortality in these patients.
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spelling doaj-art-2742c06420f14205af0cf2460ba4fb2e2025-01-12T10:50:00ZengHormozgan University of Medical SciencesDisease and Diagnosis2717-32322024-12-0113413914510.34172/ddj.1590ddj-1590Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center ExperienceLatife Jabbari0Leila AzizKhani1Saman Shamsipour2Saeed Hayati3Department of Emergency Medicine, Shahid Mohammadi Hospital, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, IranDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, IranStudent Research Committee, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, IranDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Shahid Mohammadi Hospital, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, IranBackground: Determining the predictors of mortality in COVID-19 is a way of identifying high-risk patients. Previous studies reported comorbidities and old age as the essential components of COVID-19 mortality. The present study aimed to determine the predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19 referred to the emergency department. Materials and Methods: The present descriptive-analytical study was conducted retrospectively on patients with confirmed COVID-19 referred to the Emergency Department of Shahid Mohammadi Hospital, Bandar Abbas, in 2019. Patient information, including age, gender, underlying disease, history of smoking, clinical symptoms, type of treatment, and laboratory findings, was extracted from the COVID registry. Results: In general, 2478 patients with COVID-19 were examined in this study. The average age of the patients was 52.57±16.41 years. Of them, 1371 people (55.3%) were men. The most common clinical symptom of the patients was shortness of breath (63.2%), and the most common underlying disease was hypertension (HTN) (24.3%). About 16.9% of the examined COVID-19 patients died. According to the results of multiple logistic regression analysis, with a 1-year increase in the age of the patients, the chance of death increased by 4.7% (P<0.001). In addition, dyspnea, HTN, ischemic heart disease, dyslipidemia, stroke, and malignancy increased the probability of death by 2.4, 1.6, 1.7, 3.6, 2.9, and 2.2 times, respectively (P<0.05). The most important predictor of mortality was C-reactive protein (CRP) 3+, which increased the probability of mortality in COVID-19 patients by almost 25 times (odds ratio [OR]=25.338, 95% CI=1.978–324.668, P=0.013). Moreover, with each unit increase in erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), the chance of death in patients increased by 3.3% (P<0.001). On the other hand, among the clinical symptoms, anorexia (OR=0.711, 95% CI=0.506–0.999, P=0.050) and receiving macrolides (OR=0.212, 95% CI=0.091–0.492, P<0.001) had a protective role in mortality. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study, old age, dyspnea, HTN, ischemic heart disease, dyslipidemia, stroke, malignancy, CRP 3+, and high ESR were identified as predictors of mortality in COVID-19 patients. Of course, receiving macrolide and the presence of anorexia played a protective role in mortality in these patients.https://ddj.hums.ac.ir/PDF/ddj-13-139.pdfcovid-19mortalityunderlying diseaseclinical symptoms
spellingShingle Latife Jabbari
Leila AzizKhani
Saman Shamsipour
Saeed Hayati
Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
Disease and Diagnosis
covid-19
mortality
underlying disease
clinical symptoms
title Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
title_full Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
title_fullStr Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
title_full_unstemmed Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
title_short Mortality Predictors in Patients With COVID-19 Referred to the Emergency Department in Bandar Abbas, Southern Iran: A Single-Center Experience
title_sort mortality predictors in patients with covid 19 referred to the emergency department in bandar abbas southern iran a single center experience
topic covid-19
mortality
underlying disease
clinical symptoms
url https://ddj.hums.ac.ir/PDF/ddj-13-139.pdf
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