Present and future interannual variability in wildfire occurrence: a large ensemble application to the United States

Realistic projections of future wildfires need to account for both the stochastic nature of climate and the randomness of individual fire events. Here we adopt a probabilistic approach to predict current and future fire probabilities using a large ensemble of 1,600 modelled years representing differ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Theodore R. Keeping, Boya Zhou, Wenjia Cai, Theodore G. Shepherd, I. Colin Prentice, Karin van der Wiel, Sandy P. Harrison
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2025.1519836/full
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