Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake

Abstract After the Great East Japan Earthquake, planning appropriate healthcare resource allocation was crucial. However, accurately estimating medical care demand was challenging due to substantial population fluctuations caused by extensive evacuations, compounded by the inaccuracy of conventional...

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Main Authors: Asaka Higuchi, Hiroki Yoshimura, Hiroaki Saito, Toshiki Abe, Michio Murakami, Tianchen Zhao, Isamu Amir, Naomi Ito, Chika Yamamoto, Saori Nonaka, Toyoaki Sawano, Yuki Shimada, Akihiko Ozaki, Tomoyoshi Oikawa, Masaharu Tsubokura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80569-x
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author Asaka Higuchi
Hiroki Yoshimura
Hiroaki Saito
Toshiki Abe
Michio Murakami
Tianchen Zhao
Isamu Amir
Naomi Ito
Chika Yamamoto
Saori Nonaka
Toyoaki Sawano
Yuki Shimada
Akihiko Ozaki
Tomoyoshi Oikawa
Masaharu Tsubokura
author_facet Asaka Higuchi
Hiroki Yoshimura
Hiroaki Saito
Toshiki Abe
Michio Murakami
Tianchen Zhao
Isamu Amir
Naomi Ito
Chika Yamamoto
Saori Nonaka
Toyoaki Sawano
Yuki Shimada
Akihiko Ozaki
Tomoyoshi Oikawa
Masaharu Tsubokura
author_sort Asaka Higuchi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract After the Great East Japan Earthquake, planning appropriate healthcare resource allocation was crucial. However, accurately estimating medical care demand was challenging due to substantial population fluctuations caused by extensive evacuations, compounded by the inaccuracy of conventional Resident Resister data in this context. This study employs population data generated from mobile phone network from 2019 to 2020 to conduct a detailed temporal and spatial population estimation in Futaba County, originally a complete evacuation zone. To enhance the precision of population estimates, population data independently collected by each municipality were used as reference data in the estimation process. Further, the utility of the estimated population data for calculating emergency transport rates was assessed. Our findings revealed discrepancies between daytime and nighttime populations within Okuma and Futaba Town, where median day/night population ratio exceeded three across both weekdays and weekends. Additionally, sex–age-adjusted emergency transport rates calculated using the estimated population demonstrated closer alignment with the national average compared to those calculated based on census data. This study demonstrates the importance of considering dynamic population data, such as that generated from mobile phone networks, in enhancing healthcare planning and ensuring that resources are efficiently allocated to meet communities’ evolving needs during recovery periods.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
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publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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spelling doaj-art-1c386adc46c940469c7a2dbd448485c62024-11-24T12:24:24ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-11-0114111210.1038/s41598-024-80569-xEnhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquakeAsaka Higuchi0Hiroki Yoshimura1Hiroaki Saito2Toshiki Abe3Michio Murakami4Tianchen Zhao5Isamu Amir6Naomi Ito7Chika Yamamoto8Saori Nonaka9Toyoaki Sawano10Yuki Shimada11Akihiko Ozaki12Tomoyoshi Oikawa13Masaharu Tsubokura14Department of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineCenter for Infectious Disease Education and Research, Osaka UniversityDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineResearch Center for Community Health, Minamisoma Municipal General HospitalDepartment of Neurosurgery, Minamisoma Municipal General HospitalDepartment of Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University School of MedicineAbstract After the Great East Japan Earthquake, planning appropriate healthcare resource allocation was crucial. However, accurately estimating medical care demand was challenging due to substantial population fluctuations caused by extensive evacuations, compounded by the inaccuracy of conventional Resident Resister data in this context. This study employs population data generated from mobile phone network from 2019 to 2020 to conduct a detailed temporal and spatial population estimation in Futaba County, originally a complete evacuation zone. To enhance the precision of population estimates, population data independently collected by each municipality were used as reference data in the estimation process. Further, the utility of the estimated population data for calculating emergency transport rates was assessed. Our findings revealed discrepancies between daytime and nighttime populations within Okuma and Futaba Town, where median day/night population ratio exceeded three across both weekdays and weekends. Additionally, sex–age-adjusted emergency transport rates calculated using the estimated population demonstrated closer alignment with the national average compared to those calculated based on census data. This study demonstrates the importance of considering dynamic population data, such as that generated from mobile phone networks, in enhancing healthcare planning and ensuring that resources are efficiently allocated to meet communities’ evolving needs during recovery periods.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80569-xPopulation estimationDisaster medicineEmergency transportMedical planningMobile spatial statisticsPublic health
spellingShingle Asaka Higuchi
Hiroki Yoshimura
Hiroaki Saito
Toshiki Abe
Michio Murakami
Tianchen Zhao
Isamu Amir
Naomi Ito
Chika Yamamoto
Saori Nonaka
Toyoaki Sawano
Yuki Shimada
Akihiko Ozaki
Tomoyoshi Oikawa
Masaharu Tsubokura
Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
Scientific Reports
Population estimation
Disaster medicine
Emergency transport
Medical planning
Mobile spatial statistics
Public health
title Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
title_full Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
title_fullStr Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
title_short Enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in Futaba County after the Great East Japan earthquake
title_sort enhancing healthcare planning using population data generated from mobile phone networks in futaba county after the great east japan earthquake
topic Population estimation
Disaster medicine
Emergency transport
Medical planning
Mobile spatial statistics
Public health
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-80569-x
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