Uncertainty-Aware Earthquake Forecasting Using a Bayesian Neural Network with Elastic Weight Consolidation

Uncertainty-Aware Earthquake Forecasting Using a Bayesian Neural Network with Elastic Weight Consolidation

Effective earthquake early warning (EEW) is essential for disaster prevention in the built environment, enabling a rapid structural response, system shutdown, and occupant evacuation to mitigate damage and casualties. However, most current EEW systems lack rigorous reliability analyses of their pred...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Changchun Liu, Yuting Li, Huijuan Gao, Lin Feng, Xinqian Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-08-01
Series:Buildings
Subjects:
earthquake early warning
Bayesian neural network
Stein variational gradient descent
uncertainty estimation
continual learning
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/15/2718
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