Showing 2,321 - 2,340 results of 2,698 for search '"disasters"', query time: 0.05s Refine Results
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    Risk Analysis of Sequential Dam Break of Cascade Reservoirs and Simulation of Flood Routing by YU Zibo, XIANG Yan, MENG Ying, SU Zhengyang

    Published 2021-01-01
    “…To study the risk of sequential dam break of cascade reservoirs,and to simulate and analyze the flood routing process,by constructing a Bayesian network model for the sequential dam break of double reservoirs under the action of extra standard floods and piping,and combining the dam break and flood routing simulation of Breach dam-break numerical model and two-dimensional HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model,this paper calculates the probability of dam break,evaluates the risk of sequential dam break,and simulates the flood routing process,taking Hanconggou Reservoir and Dingguoshan Reservoir as examples.The calculation results show that:Through Bayesian-based backward inference of the known dam break of Dingguoshan Reservoir,the probability of “Hancongou Reservoir dam break” increased from 3% to 87%;while through Bayesian-based backward inference of the known dam break of Hancongou Reservoir,the probability of “Hancongou Reservoir piping” increased from 16% to 87%.Under extra standard flood and piping conditions,due to the sequential dam break of the two reservoirs,the time for the flood to reach the section CS1—CS6 is 0.8~3.0 h;under the flood conditions that occurred once in 1 000 years,the Hancongou Reservoir was opened for flood discharge but the dam was not broken.Only the Dingguoshan Reservoir was over-topped with dam break,and the flood reached the section CS1—CS6 in 21.5~26.5 h.This study can provide scientific reference for reducing dam break risk,and making emergency plan and disaster prevention & mitigation plan.…”
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  12. 2332

    Pandemic mitigation: Bringing it home by Tom Reichert

    Published 2010-12-01
    “…Specific recommendations for protection embody a bunker mentality with a time horizon of two weeks, emulating preparation for a natural disaster. The epidemiology of pandemic influenza is scarcely considered.   …”
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    Dynamic Assessment of Agricultural Drought Risk in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2018 by LIU Guonie, LIANG Yuanyuan, QIU Yue, XIA Jingxia, DING Mengyao, SUN Peng

    Published 2022-01-01
    “…In the context of global warming and climate change,drought poses a serious threat to agricultural production.The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a “sensor” and “sensitive area” of climate change.Researching the agricultural drought risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is conducive to drought prevention planning of the area and improving the ability to resist drought.A risk assessment model is developed for agricultural droughts on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in light of regional disaster system theory,which is employed to investigate the hazard,exposure,vulnerability and spatiotemporal features of agricultural droughts therein.Moreover,the paper regionalizes the risk grade at a county level.The results show the followings:① The hazard of agricultural drought risk on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau presents a “high-low-high” distribution from southeast to northwest,and the southeastern region shows an increasing trend.Wheat and highland barley in the eastern and southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are at a high agricultural drought risk from July to September.Forages in the northern region are at a high agricultural drought risk from April to August.② The regional difference of agricultural drought exposure in Tibet Plateau is small.The exposure shows an increasing trend in the east and northwest while a decreasing trend in the central and west.③ The agricultural drought vulnerability of 98.79% of the counties and cities is decreasing,which passes the significance test at the confidence level of 99%.④ The southeastern and northern regions of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau witness a high agricultural drought risk and an increasing trend of it.…”
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    Evaluation of flood determination with various methods: Case study of Ayamama Creek by Orkan Özcan

    Published 2017-02-01
    “…In many developing countries, rapid urbanization, disaster risks and affectability pose a great problem. …”
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