-
201
Physics‐Based Hazard Assessment of Compound Flooding From Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones in a Warming Climate
Published 2025-01-01“…Our approach leverages hydrodynamic models driven by extensive sets of synthetic TCs downscaled from CMIP6 climate models. We also perform a far less extensive analysis of ETCs using a previously produced event set, dynamically downscaled using the WRF model driven by a single CMIP5 model. …”
Get full text
Article -
202
Temporal-Spatial Characteristics and Future Changes of Temperature Extremes in Longtan Watershed Based on Multiple Indices
Published 2022-01-01“…Meanwhile, the simulation effects of temperature were analyzed based on 11 CMIP5 climate models, and the extreme temperature change in 2021–2050 under the high emission scenario RCP8.5 and low emission scenario RCP4.5 was estimated. …”
Get full text
Article -
203
Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) Curves for the Qassim Region, Saudi Arabia
Published 2025-01-01“…The nonparametric quantile mapping method was employed to adjust the outputs of eight Regional Climate Models (RCMs) within the CMIP6 ensemble. These models were evaluated under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), ranging from a stringent mitigation scenario to one with very high greenhouse gas emissions. …”
Get full text
Article -
204
Turbulence of internal gravity waves in the laboratory
Published 2024-09-01“…A better understanding of the weakly non-linear internal wave turbulence thus appears as an important lever for improving the parameterization of small oceanic scales in climate models. On the other hand, the identification of valid solutions to the theory of internal gravity wave turbulence is still an open problem, and the experimental observation of this regime is therefore of great interest to guide future theoretical developments. …”
Get full text
Article -
205
How to disseminate the research results on climate change impacts in cities to guide adaptation public policies ? Application to the Paris region (France)
Published 2025-04-01“…High-resolution climate projections may meet parts of these needs, but two key points require attention: (i) climate models appear to be difficult to apprehend by public stakeholders, thus an effort of pedagogy is necessary, (ii) climate projections often extend to 2100, but stakeholders primarily need short- to medium-term forecasts that align with public policy timelines. …”
Get full text
Article -
206
Advances in the Research on Brown Carbon Aerosols: Its Concentrations, Radiative Forcing, and Effects on Climate
Published 2023-05-01“…Recent research suggests that: (1) Climate effects of aerosols can be represented more accurately when including BrC absorption in climate models; the regions with the highest global mean surface BrC concentrations estimated by models are mostly Southeast Asia and South America (biomass burning), East Asia and northeast India (biofuel burning), and Europe and North America (secondary sources); estimates of BrC radiative forcing are quite erratic, with a range of around 0.03–0.57 W m−2. (2) BrC heating lead to tropical expansion and a reduction in deep convective mass fluxes in the upper troposphere; cloud fraction and cloud type have a substantial impact on the heating rate estimates of BrC. …”
Get full text
Article -
207
Increasing extreme hourly precipitation risk for New York City after Hurricane Ida
Published 2024-11-01“…These models are conditioned on average temperature (T avg ) and cooling degree day (CDD) projections from three climate models as a covariate, each with a SSP 126 and SSP 370 scenario. …”
Get full text
Article -
208
Energy sufficiency for deep decarbonization: A modeling framework
Published 2025-03-01“…Current energy and climate models generally exclude energy sufficiency, however, or combine it with energy efficiency, obscuring its distinct benefits. …”
Get full text
Article -
209
The Ripple Effect of Climate Change: Assessing the Impacts on Water Quality and Hydrology in Addis Ababa City (Akaki Catchment)
Published 2024-01-01“…This was performed using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model and an ensemble of four global climate models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) emission scenarios from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). …”
Get full text
Article -
210
How fast is the frequency of precipitation extremes doubling in global land regions?
Published 2024-01-01“…Using an ensemble of climate models from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) in a non-stationary extreme value framework, we quantify the time it takes for the frequency of extreme 1-day and 7-day precipitation accumulations –as estimated in the current climate– to double; the frequency double time (FDT) is estimated for a range of event rarities over land regions. …”
Get full text
Article -
211
Composite Study of Relationships Between the Characteristics of Atlantic Cold Tongue: Onset, Duration, and Maximum Extent
Published 2025-01-01“…Knowledge of these ACT characteristics and their interrelations and drivers is crucial for understanding the West African Monsoon System and for improving climate models and seasonal forecasts.…”
Get full text
Article -
212
Exploring a high-level programming model for the NWP domain using ECMWF microphysics schemes
Published 2025-01-01“…The present work is part of a larger cross-institutional effort to port weather and climate models to Python with GT4Py. The focus of the current work is the IFS prognostic cloud microphysics scheme, a core physical parametrization represented by a comprehensive code that takes a significant share of the total forecast model execution time. …”
Get full text
Article -
213
Adapting to change: exploring the distribution dynamics of the alien and potentially invasive aphid species Cinara curvipes (Hemiptera: Aphididae) in the context of global warming
Published 2025-12-01“…This study investigates the potential ecological niche and distribution of the Nearctic bow-legged fir aphid, Cinara curvipes, an alien and potentially invasive species, across Europe. Utilising climate modelling based on climatic preferences in its native range, we assess the suitability of European climates for facilitating the spread of this aphid. …”
Get full text
Article -
214
Forecast Customization System (FOCUS): A Multimodel Ensemble-Based Seasonal Climate Forecasting Tool for the Homogeneous Climate Zones of Myanmar
Published 2019-01-01“…The tool was developed using hindcast data from 7 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and observed rainfall data from 49 meteorological surface observatories for the period of 1982 to 2011 from the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology. …”
Get full text
Article -
215
Health and Characteristics of Australian Apple Growing Soils
Published 2024-01-01“…This study is unique in being the first to report the condition and characteristics of Australia’s apple growing soils; it provides essential baseline data for future monitoring of soil health in apple production systems, as well as soil physical and chemical data required for the development of perennial soil-tree-climate models. Soil chemical and physical properties were measured at 34 orchards, across five states. …”
Get full text
Article -
216
Shifting vegetation phenology in protected areas: A response to climate change
Published 2025-03-01“…This study makes a significant contribution to ecological informatics by integrating phenological metrics with climate models, thereby providing a scalable framework that is applicable to other regions facing similar climatic challenges.…”
Get full text
Article -
217
Assessing Nonlinear Dynamics and Trends in Precipitation by Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and Fractal Approach in Benin Republic (West Africa)
Published 2021-01-01“…Our findings can be used in the validation of global and regional climate models since a valid model should explain empirically detected scaling properties in observed data.…”
Get full text
Article -
218
Assessment of historical and future changes in temperature indices for winegrape suitability in Hungarian wine regions (1971–2100)
Published 2025-02-01“…The analysis was based on data from 14 climate models under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. To investigate the future suitability of wine grapes, we introduced the dynamic suitability function, which allowed us to analyse the suitability of the average temperature during the growing season for 21 wine grape varieties from 2031 to 2100 in decadal increments. …”
Get full text
Article -
219
Using the optimal seed germination temperature approach to determine the potential distribution of Inga jinicuil in Mexico under climate change scenarios
Published 2025-01-01“…The suboptimal thermal time ( $$\:\theta\:$$ 1(50)) for germination of 50% of the seed lot was 117.164 ± 0.636°Cd, which under current climatic conditions is reached in 6.6 days. According to climate modeling, the distribution of I. jinicuil populations will decrease by up to 23% in the future relative to the current distribution. …”
Get full text
Article -
220
Multiple eco-regions contribute to the seasonal cycle of Antarctic aerosol size distributions
Published 2025-01-01“…<p>In order to reduce the uncertainty of aerosol radiative forcing in global climate models, we need to better understand natural aerosol sources which are important to constrain the current and pre-industrial climate. …”
Get full text
Article