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121
Optimal Maneuver Strategy of Observer for Bearing-Only Tracking in Threat Environment
Published 2018-01-01“…The quantization method was used to discretize the BOT process and calculate the transition matrix of Markov chain; to achieve quantization in the beginning of each period, CKF was applied to provide the initial state estimate and the corresponding error covariance. …”
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122
Splitting Travel Time Based on AFC Data: Estimating Walking, Waiting, Transfer, and In-Vehicle Travel Times in Metro System
Published 2015-01-01“…A new estimation model based on Bayesian inference formulation is proposed in this paper by integrating the probability measurement of the OD pair with only one effective route, in which all kinds of times follow the truncated normal distributions. Then, Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is designed to estimate all parameters endogenously. …”
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123
BeiDou satellites cross-regional communication path assignment model and resource management
Published 2021-07-01“…Therefore, in this study, we develop a path assignment model based on the idea of clustering and Markov chain. The optimal path is determined by the objective function based on the maximum transition probability. …”
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124
Computational Procedures for a Class of GI/D/k Systems in Discrete Time
Published 2009-01-01“…Then the queue length is set up as a quasi-birth-death (QBD) type Markov chain. It is shown that this transformed GI/D/1 system has special structures which make the computation of the matrix R simple and efficient, thereby reducing the number of multiplications in each iteration significantly. …”
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125
Prophet: A Context-Aware Location Privacy-Preserving Scheme in Location Sharing Service
Published 2017-01-01“…First, we define fingerprint identification based on Markov chain and state classification to describe the users’ behavior patterns. …”
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126
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Relating Multiple SNPs within Multiple Genes to Disease Risk
Published 2013-01-01“…The entire model is fitted using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Simulation studies show that the approach is capable of recovering many of the truly causal SNPs and genes, depending upon their frequency and size of their effects. …”
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127
Bayesian Estimation and Prediction for Flexible Weibull Model under Type-II Censoring Scheme
Published 2013-01-01“…Since the predictive posteriors are not in the closed form, we proposed to use the Monte Carlo Markov chain (MCMC) methods to approximate the posteriors of interest. …”
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128
Estimation of the coefficients of variation for inverse power Lomax distribution
Published 2024-11-01“…Additionally, it is recommended to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to calculate the Bayes estimate and generate posterior distributions. …”
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129
Performance Analysis for Priority-Based Broadcast in Vehicular Networks
Published 2013-11-01“…Firstly, an analytical Markov chain model for vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) ad hoc communication networks is proposed for broadcasting messages with priority based on the IEEE 802.11p wireless access for vehicular environments (WAVE) standard. …”
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130
A Mixed Prediction Model of Ground Subsidence for Civil Infrastructures on Soft Ground
Published 2012-01-01“…Concretely speaking, in order to estimate the updating models, Markov Chain Monte Calro method, which is the frontier technique in Bayesian statistics, is applied. …”
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131
Markov Switching Model Analysis of Implied Volatility for Market Indexes with Applications to S&P 500 and DAX
Published 2014-01-01“…In particular the volatility parameter is treated as an unobserved state variable whose value in time is given as the outcome of an unobserved, discrete-time and discrete-state, stochastic process represented by a suitable Markov chain. We will take into account two different approaches for inference on Markov switching models, namely, the classical approach based on the maximum likelihood techniques and the Bayesian inference method realized through a Gibbs sampling procedure. …”
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132
Modeling Campaign Optimization Strategies in Political Elections under Uncertainty
Published 2020“…In most political campaigns,the overall goal of every candidate is to maximize the number of voters during the election exercise.In such an effort,cost effective methods in choosing the optimal campaign strategy areparamount.In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed that optimize campaign strategies of a political candidate.Considering uncertainty in voter support and cost implications in holding political rallies,we formulate a finite state markov decision process model where states of a markov chain represent possible states of support among voters.Using daily equal intervals,thecandidates‟s decision of whether or not to campaign and hold a political rally at a given location were made using discrete time Markov chains and dynamic programming over a finite period planning horizon.Empirical data was collected from two locations on a daily basis during the campaign exercise.The data collected was analyzed and tested to establish the optimal campaign strategy and costs at the respective locations.Results from the study indicated the existence of an optimal state-dependent campaign strategy and costs at the respective political rally locations.…”
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133
Modified Chen distribution: Properties, estimation, and applications in reliability analysis
Published 2024-12-01“…Bayesian estimates of the model parameters, along with the survival and hazard functions and their corresponding credible intervals, were derived via the Markov chain Monte Carlo method under balanced squared error loss, balanced linear-exponential loss, and balanced general entropy loss. …”
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134
On the Effect of Estimation Error for the Risk-Adjusted Charts
Published 2020-01-01“…To compute the average run length (ARL), Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations are conducted. Furthermore, a bootstrap method is also used to compute the ARL assuming different Phase-I data sets to minimize the effect of estimation error on risk-adjusted control charts. …”
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135
A two-layer network model of the evolution of public risk perception of emerging technologies
Published 2025-02-01“…The evolutionary threshold of public risk perception is analysed using the microscopic Markov chain approach. The influence of public composition and the spread of risk events on the evolution of risk perception is further verified through a simulation. …”
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136
Efficient Method to Approximately Solve Retrial Systems with Impatience
Published 2012-01-01“…This novel technique does not rely on the numerical solution of the steady-state Kolmogorov equations of the Continuous Time Markov Chain as it is common for this kind of systems but it considers the system in its Markov Decision Process setting. …”
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137
Dynamical Models of Tuberculosis and Their Applications
Published 2004-06-01“…Modelformulations involve a variety of mathematical areas, such as ODEs(Ordinary Differential Equations) (both autonomous andnon-autonomous systems), PDEs (Partial Differential Equations),system of difference equations, system of integro-differentialequations, Markov chain model, and simulation models.…”
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138
Stochastic process-based drought monitoring and assessment system: A temporal switched weights approach for accurate and precise drought determination.
Published 2025-01-01“…As a result, a novel system for meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts based on the Stochastic Process (Markov chain (MC)) has been proposed to address this issue. …”
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139
Exhaust Emission Assessment with Energy Structural Evolution in Transportation Network
Published 2022-01-01“…However, the dynamic environmental impact assessment along with energy structural evolution in transportation network is still wondering as the vehicular exhaust emissions are highly dependent on their market shares and working conditions. In this paper, a Markov chain model is formulated to represent the transition process between traditional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), with which the dynamic market penetration level of three vehicle types can be predicted. …”
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140
Network-level reproduction number and extinction threshold for vector-borne diseases
Published 2014-12-01“…Relationships between basic reproduction numbers of two deterministic network-based ordinary differential equation vector-host models, and extinction thresholds of corresponding stochastic continuous-time Markov chain models are derived under some assumptions. …”
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