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    Development and validation of the age-associated dementia policy (AgeD-Pol) computer simulation model in the USA and Europe by Anand Viswanathan, Lee H Schwamm, Krishna P Reddy, Emily P Hyle, Fatma M Shebl, Kenneth A Freedberg, Julia H A Foote, Yiqi Qian, Shibani S Mukerji, Nattanicha Wattananimitgul, Ankur Pandya

    Published 2022-07-01
    “…We then performed external validation of the model using data from the Framingham Heart Study, the Rotterdam Study and Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC). We compared model-projected AAD cumulative incidence and mortality with published cohort data using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE).Results In internal validation, the AgeD-Pol model provided a good fit to the ACT cohort for cumulative AAD incidence, 10.4% (MAPE, 0.2%) and survival, 66.5% (MAPE, 8.8%), after 16 years of follow-up among those initially aged 65–69 years. …”
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