Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake
The seismotectonically induced changes in groundwater radon (Rn) are considered to be strong imputes for the surveillance of imminent major earthquakes. Groundwater facilitates the migration of soil gases as a result of tectonic stresses. In this regard, a radon time series is statistically analysed...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | Geofluids |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2429165 |
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| author | Aftab Alam Nanping Wang Guofeng Zhao Adnan Barkat |
| author_facet | Aftab Alam Nanping Wang Guofeng Zhao Adnan Barkat |
| author_sort | Aftab Alam |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The seismotectonically induced changes in groundwater radon (Rn) are considered to be strong imputes for the surveillance of imminent major earthquakes. Groundwater facilitates the migration of soil gases as a result of tectonic stresses. In this regard, a radon time series is statistically analysed to identify the radon anomalies possibly induced by Wenchuan earthquake. The statistical analysis mainly involves the deterministic analysis of the Rn data and residual Rn analysis using a criterion x¯±2σ of anomaly selection having a confidence interval of 95%. The deterministic analysis reveals that the Rn time series follows a persistent trend 0.5≤H≤1 which confirms the absence of a chaotic regime. On the other hand, the residual Rn shows a notable upsurge straddling the time of the Wenchuan earthquake in the form of pre- and post earthquake changes at monitoring stations having RE/RD≤0.3. The residual Rn level passes the anomaly selection criterion x¯±2σ and is declared as a tectonically induced Rn anomaly. Contrary to this, the response of distant monitoring stations (RE/RD>0.3) to this particular earthquake further validates the link between Rn and earthquake activity. In a nutshell, the present study highlights the potential implications of earthquake-induced radon anomalies for earthquake prediction research. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-ff53a155df044c54931574c73a558309 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1468-8115 1468-8123 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Geofluids |
| spelling | doaj-art-ff53a155df044c54931574c73a5583092025-02-03T00:59:41ZengWileyGeofluids1468-81151468-81232020-01-01202010.1155/2020/24291652429165Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan EarthquakeAftab Alam0Nanping Wang1Guofeng Zhao2Adnan Barkat3Key Laboratory of Geo-Detection, Ministry of Education, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geo-Detection, Ministry of Education, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, ChinaChina Earthquake Network Centre, Beijing, ChinaCentre for Earthquake Studies, National Centre for Physics, Islamabad, PakistanThe seismotectonically induced changes in groundwater radon (Rn) are considered to be strong imputes for the surveillance of imminent major earthquakes. Groundwater facilitates the migration of soil gases as a result of tectonic stresses. In this regard, a radon time series is statistically analysed to identify the radon anomalies possibly induced by Wenchuan earthquake. The statistical analysis mainly involves the deterministic analysis of the Rn data and residual Rn analysis using a criterion x¯±2σ of anomaly selection having a confidence interval of 95%. The deterministic analysis reveals that the Rn time series follows a persistent trend 0.5≤H≤1 which confirms the absence of a chaotic regime. On the other hand, the residual Rn shows a notable upsurge straddling the time of the Wenchuan earthquake in the form of pre- and post earthquake changes at monitoring stations having RE/RD≤0.3. The residual Rn level passes the anomaly selection criterion x¯±2σ and is declared as a tectonically induced Rn anomaly. Contrary to this, the response of distant monitoring stations (RE/RD>0.3) to this particular earthquake further validates the link between Rn and earthquake activity. In a nutshell, the present study highlights the potential implications of earthquake-induced radon anomalies for earthquake prediction research.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2429165 |
| spellingShingle | Aftab Alam Nanping Wang Guofeng Zhao Adnan Barkat Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake Geofluids |
| title | Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake |
| title_full | Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake |
| title_fullStr | Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake |
| title_full_unstemmed | Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake |
| title_short | Implication of Radon Monitoring for Earthquake Surveillance Using Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of Wenchuan Earthquake |
| title_sort | implication of radon monitoring for earthquake surveillance using statistical techniques a case study of wenchuan earthquake |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2429165 |
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