Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation

Dead fuel moisture content (DFMC) is essential for assessing wildfire danger, fire behavior, and fuel consumption. Several process-based models have been proposed to estimate DFMC. Previous studies have employed process-based models to estimate DFMC, solely relying on meteorological data obtained fr...

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Main Authors: Chunquan Fan, Binbin He, Jianpeng Yin, Rui Chen, Hongguo Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:GIScience & Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15481603.2024.2324556
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author Chunquan Fan
Binbin He
Jianpeng Yin
Rui Chen
Hongguo Zhang
author_facet Chunquan Fan
Binbin He
Jianpeng Yin
Rui Chen
Hongguo Zhang
author_sort Chunquan Fan
collection DOAJ
description Dead fuel moisture content (DFMC) is essential for assessing wildfire danger, fire behavior, and fuel consumption. Several process-based models have been proposed to estimate DFMC. Previous studies have employed process-based models to estimate DFMC, solely relying on meteorological data obtained from meteorological stations. Satellite data can offer higher spatial resolution compared to meteorological data, with the potential to enhance the process-based DFMC estimates. Within this content, we aimed to improve the DFMC estimates by consideration of geostationary meteorological satellite-derived key variable (relative humility, RH) into the Fuel Stick Moisture Model (FSMM). The RH was derived from Himawari-8 geostationary satellite data, and other variables required by FSMM were obtained from Global Forecast System (GFS). As comparison, an equilibrium moisture content (EMC) model, Simard, and random forest regression were also used for the DFMC estimates. DFMC field measurement from the southwest China validate the DFMC from these three models. Results show that the DFMC estimated from the FSMM and Himawari-8 derived RH reached to a reasonable accuracy (R2 = 0.73, RMSE = 3.60%, MAE = 2.69%). The comparison between FSMM and the other two models also confirmed the superior performance of the process-based model. A wildfire case over this region also confirmed that the DFMC continuous decreasing trends until the fire outbreak, highlighting the applicability of our approach in contributing to fire risk assessment.
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spelling doaj-art-ff51509c65e84d6ebf2adac79b33fcff2025-08-20T01:59:30ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGIScience & Remote Sensing1548-16031943-72262024-12-0161110.1080/15481603.2024.2324556Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimationChunquan Fan0Binbin HeJianpeng Yin1Rui Chen2Hongguo Zhang3School of Resources and Environment, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, ChinaSchool of Resources and Environment, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, ChinaSchool of Resources and Environment, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, ChinaSchool of Resources and Environment, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, ChinaDead fuel moisture content (DFMC) is essential for assessing wildfire danger, fire behavior, and fuel consumption. Several process-based models have been proposed to estimate DFMC. Previous studies have employed process-based models to estimate DFMC, solely relying on meteorological data obtained from meteorological stations. Satellite data can offer higher spatial resolution compared to meteorological data, with the potential to enhance the process-based DFMC estimates. Within this content, we aimed to improve the DFMC estimates by consideration of geostationary meteorological satellite-derived key variable (relative humility, RH) into the Fuel Stick Moisture Model (FSMM). The RH was derived from Himawari-8 geostationary satellite data, and other variables required by FSMM were obtained from Global Forecast System (GFS). As comparison, an equilibrium moisture content (EMC) model, Simard, and random forest regression were also used for the DFMC estimates. DFMC field measurement from the southwest China validate the DFMC from these three models. Results show that the DFMC estimated from the FSMM and Himawari-8 derived RH reached to a reasonable accuracy (R2 = 0.73, RMSE = 3.60%, MAE = 2.69%). The comparison between FSMM and the other two models also confirmed the superior performance of the process-based model. A wildfire case over this region also confirmed that the DFMC continuous decreasing trends until the fire outbreak, highlighting the applicability of our approach in contributing to fire risk assessment.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15481603.2024.2324556Dead fuel moisture contentHimawari-8process-based modelsensitivity analysiswildfire
spellingShingle Chunquan Fan
Binbin He
Jianpeng Yin
Rui Chen
Hongguo Zhang
Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
GIScience & Remote Sensing
Dead fuel moisture content
Himawari-8
process-based model
sensitivity analysis
wildfire
title Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
title_full Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
title_fullStr Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
title_full_unstemmed Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
title_short Process-based and geostationary meteorological satellite-enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
title_sort process based and geostationary meteorological satellite enhanced dead fuel moisture content estimation
topic Dead fuel moisture content
Himawari-8
process-based model
sensitivity analysis
wildfire
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15481603.2024.2324556
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AT binbinhe processbasedandgeostationarymeteorologicalsatelliteenhanceddeadfuelmoisturecontentestimation
AT jianpengyin processbasedandgeostationarymeteorologicalsatelliteenhanceddeadfuelmoisturecontentestimation
AT ruichen processbasedandgeostationarymeteorologicalsatelliteenhanceddeadfuelmoisturecontentestimation
AT hongguozhang processbasedandgeostationarymeteorologicalsatelliteenhanceddeadfuelmoisturecontentestimation