Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning

Abstract Predicting wind speed simultaneously at multiple heights, particularly at 10 and 100 metres (m), presents unique challenges due to diverse influences. At lower altitudes, wind speed is significantly affected by surface factors including roughness, vegetation, and man-made structures, causin...

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Main Authors: Alireza Hakimi, Parvin Ghafarian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88295-8
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author Alireza Hakimi
Parvin Ghafarian
author_facet Alireza Hakimi
Parvin Ghafarian
author_sort Alireza Hakimi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Predicting wind speed simultaneously at multiple heights, particularly at 10 and 100 metres (m), presents unique challenges due to diverse influences. At lower altitudes, wind speed is significantly affected by surface factors including roughness, vegetation, and man-made structures, causing sharp fluctuations, while at higher altitudes, it is primarily influenced by atmospheric conditions, resulting in smoother flow patterns. Traditional models often require separate systems for each altitude, limiting their efficiency and accuracy. This study introduces the brain emotional learning based on basic and functional memories (BELBFM) model, inspired by adaptive emotional learning mechanisms in the mammalian brain, to predict wind speeds at both altitudes simultaneously. Using ERA5 reanalysis data, BELBFM effectively captures the nonlinear dynamics of wind behavior. Evaluation with data from the Persian Gulf demonstrates BELBFM’s high accuracy, enhancing predictive capabilities for applications in renewable energy and structural engineering. This unified model provides a robust and efficient solution for adaptive wind forecasting.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-feb3858df49147cb8745e43ddb305b902025-02-09T12:30:28ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-02-0115111510.1038/s41598-025-88295-8Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learningAlireza Hakimi0Parvin Ghafarian1Iranian National Institute for Oceanography and Atmospheric Science (INIOAS)Iranian National Institute for Oceanography and Atmospheric Science (INIOAS)Abstract Predicting wind speed simultaneously at multiple heights, particularly at 10 and 100 metres (m), presents unique challenges due to diverse influences. At lower altitudes, wind speed is significantly affected by surface factors including roughness, vegetation, and man-made structures, causing sharp fluctuations, while at higher altitudes, it is primarily influenced by atmospheric conditions, resulting in smoother flow patterns. Traditional models often require separate systems for each altitude, limiting their efficiency and accuracy. This study introduces the brain emotional learning based on basic and functional memories (BELBFM) model, inspired by adaptive emotional learning mechanisms in the mammalian brain, to predict wind speeds at both altitudes simultaneously. Using ERA5 reanalysis data, BELBFM effectively captures the nonlinear dynamics of wind behavior. Evaluation with data from the Persian Gulf demonstrates BELBFM’s high accuracy, enhancing predictive capabilities for applications in renewable energy and structural engineering. This unified model provides a robust and efficient solution for adaptive wind forecasting.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88295-8Wind speed modelingBrain emotional learning modelBasic memoryFunctional memoryMachine learning
spellingShingle Alireza Hakimi
Parvin Ghafarian
Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
Scientific Reports
Wind speed modeling
Brain emotional learning model
Basic memory
Functional memory
Machine learning
title Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
title_full Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
title_fullStr Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
title_full_unstemmed Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
title_short Simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
title_sort simultaneous prediction of 10m and 100m wind speeds using a model inspired by brain emotional learning
topic Wind speed modeling
Brain emotional learning model
Basic memory
Functional memory
Machine learning
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88295-8
work_keys_str_mv AT alirezahakimi simultaneouspredictionof10mand100mwindspeedsusingamodelinspiredbybrainemotionallearning
AT parvinghafarian simultaneouspredictionof10mand100mwindspeedsusingamodelinspiredbybrainemotionallearning