Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education

Abstract This article contributes to the discourse on the phenomenon of over-education and its implications for labor misallocation within China. The celebrated Imperial Examination System, initiated in the Sui dynasty and enduring until 1905, cultivated an elite-driven society where educational att...

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Main Authors: Xiaodong Chen, Ding Li, Pengyu Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2025-07-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-05084-4
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author Xiaodong Chen
Ding Li
Pengyu Zhu
author_facet Xiaodong Chen
Ding Li
Pengyu Zhu
author_sort Xiaodong Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This article contributes to the discourse on the phenomenon of over-education and its implications for labor misallocation within China. The celebrated Imperial Examination System, initiated in the Sui dynasty and enduring until 1905, cultivated an elite-driven society where educational attainments were paramount. Our study delves into historical Jinshi density data—indicative of the highest accolade in said examinations—coupled with insights from the Annual Survey of Industrial Firms. By addressing endogeneity through adjustments for reference materials and transport accessibility, we discern that prefectures exhibiting a 1% enhancement in Jinshi density per 10,000 individuals are subject to a 1030–1710 CNY wage increment presently. This increase is mainly attributed to the continuation of cultural norms influencing human capital (workers’ degree and positional title structures by gender and direct educational investments) and social capital (innovation, transport, paid-in capital structure, and welfare costs), along with migration patterns that attract talent. Our investigations further illuminate that historical examination practices incentivize ancillary advantages, encompassing welfare programs, as well as public services and amenities.
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spelling doaj-art-fe996a47be5d4a8da198ff1794c294672025-08-20T03:45:27ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922025-07-0112112210.1057/s41599-025-05084-4Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-educationXiaodong Chen0Ding Li1Pengyu Zhu2Division of Public Policy, Hong Kong University of Science and TechnologySchool of Public Administration, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (SWUFE)Division of Public Policy, Hong Kong University of Science and TechnologyAbstract This article contributes to the discourse on the phenomenon of over-education and its implications for labor misallocation within China. The celebrated Imperial Examination System, initiated in the Sui dynasty and enduring until 1905, cultivated an elite-driven society where educational attainments were paramount. Our study delves into historical Jinshi density data—indicative of the highest accolade in said examinations—coupled with insights from the Annual Survey of Industrial Firms. By addressing endogeneity through adjustments for reference materials and transport accessibility, we discern that prefectures exhibiting a 1% enhancement in Jinshi density per 10,000 individuals are subject to a 1030–1710 CNY wage increment presently. This increase is mainly attributed to the continuation of cultural norms influencing human capital (workers’ degree and positional title structures by gender and direct educational investments) and social capital (innovation, transport, paid-in capital structure, and welfare costs), along with migration patterns that attract talent. Our investigations further illuminate that historical examination practices incentivize ancillary advantages, encompassing welfare programs, as well as public services and amenities.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-05084-4
spellingShingle Xiaodong Chen
Ding Li
Pengyu Zhu
Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
title_full Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
title_fullStr Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
title_full_unstemmed Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
title_short Long-term impacts of historical education policy on wages in China: insights on over-education
title_sort long term impacts of historical education policy on wages in china insights on over education
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-05084-4
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AT dingli longtermimpactsofhistoricaleducationpolicyonwagesinchinainsightsonovereducation
AT pengyuzhu longtermimpactsofhistoricaleducationpolicyonwagesinchinainsightsonovereducation