A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs

The widespread adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) has highlighted the critical importance of precise energy consumption prediction models to address the problem of range anxiety among drivers. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of such models by combining real-time traffic state recog...

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Main Authors: Yue Li, Yu Jiang, Jianhua Guo, Dong Xie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772111/
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author Yue Li
Yu Jiang
Jianhua Guo
Dong Xie
author_facet Yue Li
Yu Jiang
Jianhua Guo
Dong Xie
author_sort Yue Li
collection DOAJ
description The widespread adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) has highlighted the critical importance of precise energy consumption prediction models to address the problem of range anxiety among drivers. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of such models by combining real-time traffic state recognition and velocity prediction, thereby mitigating range anxiety and enhancing the driving experience. Consequently, we propose an improved Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering algorithm that use historical traffic data and dynamic traffic information accurately identify traffic conditions. In addition, a Fuzzy-Markov-based velocity prediction model is developed to generate future velocity profiles under diverse traffic scenarios. In the energy consumption prediction stage, a particle swarm optimization-radial basis function neural network (PSO-RBFNN) model is employed to estimation the energy consumption. Simulation results show a significant improvement in prediction accuracy, with the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reduced to below 3.2% under diverse traffic scenarios.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2169-3536
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher IEEE
record_format Article
series IEEE Access
spelling doaj-art-fe59eb6079dc43da8234f59c1f7d2b3b2025-01-16T00:01:22ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362024-01-011219617819619410.1109/ACCESS.2024.350945610772111A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVsYue Li0https://orcid.org/0009-0006-4699-5471Yu Jiang1Jianhua Guo2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9551-0112Dong Xie3College of Automotive Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaCollege of Automotive Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaCollege of Automotive Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaCollege of Automotive Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaThe widespread adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) has highlighted the critical importance of precise energy consumption prediction models to address the problem of range anxiety among drivers. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of such models by combining real-time traffic state recognition and velocity prediction, thereby mitigating range anxiety and enhancing the driving experience. Consequently, we propose an improved Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering algorithm that use historical traffic data and dynamic traffic information accurately identify traffic conditions. In addition, a Fuzzy-Markov-based velocity prediction model is developed to generate future velocity profiles under diverse traffic scenarios. In the energy consumption prediction stage, a particle swarm optimization-radial basis function neural network (PSO-RBFNN) model is employed to estimation the energy consumption. Simulation results show a significant improvement in prediction accuracy, with the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reduced to below 3.2% under diverse traffic scenarios.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772111/Battery electric vehiclesenergy consumption predictiontraffic state recognitionvelocity prediction
spellingShingle Yue Li
Yu Jiang
Jianhua Guo
Dong Xie
A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
IEEE Access
Battery electric vehicles
energy consumption prediction
traffic state recognition
velocity prediction
title A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
title_full A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
title_fullStr A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
title_short A Novel Energy Consumption Prediction Model Integrating Real-Time Traffic State Recognition and Velocity Prediction of BEVs
title_sort novel energy consumption prediction model integrating real time traffic state recognition and velocity prediction of bevs
topic Battery electric vehicles
energy consumption prediction
traffic state recognition
velocity prediction
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10772111/
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