Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach
Salt concentration in global freshwater supplies has increased steadily, leading to the Freshwater Salinization Syndrome (FSS). To curb the FSS, stakeholders can self-organize to develop institutions, or a set of rules that limit salt emissions. This research develops an agent-based modeling framewo...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2024-12-01
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| Series: | Journal of Hydrology X |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258991552400018X |
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| author | Kingston Armstrong Yinman Zhong Shantanu V. Bhide Stanley B. Grant Thomas Birkland Emily Zechman Berglund |
| author_facet | Kingston Armstrong Yinman Zhong Shantanu V. Bhide Stanley B. Grant Thomas Birkland Emily Zechman Berglund |
| author_sort | Kingston Armstrong |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Salt concentration in global freshwater supplies has increased steadily, leading to the Freshwater Salinization Syndrome (FSS). To curb the FSS, stakeholders can self-organize to develop institutions, or a set of rules that limit salt emissions. This research develops an agent-based modeling framework to explore how institutions reverse the FSS. Property owners are represented as agents that apply rules of behavior to apply salt to deice pavement in response to winter weather, vote on institutions, and comply with or defect from institutions. Salt enters the soil-groundwater system through infiltration, which is modeled using a transit time distribution approach. Results demonstrate that stable institutions lead to positive economic outcomes for stakeholders, based on their ability to apply salt during winter events and access high-quality drinking water. Simulations are analyzed to explore institutions, or limits to the application of salt, that emerge based on the interactions of stakeholders as they agree on salt application limits, the intensity of monitoring for defectors, and sanctions. Institutions that emerge effectively limit the concentration of salt in drinking water. The emergence of stable institutions low rates of innovation among stakeholders, and the concentration of salt in groundwater exceeds standards due to high rates of defection among stakeholders. This research demonstrates how self-organized institutions can lead to sustainable application strategies that reverse the FSS. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-fe4f3e7b182a4632b3a6d313db0004bf |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2589-9155 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Hydrology X |
| spelling | doaj-art-fe4f3e7b182a4632b3a6d313db0004bf2025-08-20T02:02:57ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology X2589-91552024-12-012510018810.1016/j.hydroa.2024.100188Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approachKingston Armstrong0Yinman Zhong1Shantanu V. Bhide2Stanley B. Grant3Thomas Birkland4Emily Zechman Berglund5Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA; Corresponding author.School of Public and International Affairs, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USACivil and Environmental Engineering, Virginia Tech, USACivil Engineering, Virginia Tech, USASchool of Public and International Affairs, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USADepartment of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USASalt concentration in global freshwater supplies has increased steadily, leading to the Freshwater Salinization Syndrome (FSS). To curb the FSS, stakeholders can self-organize to develop institutions, or a set of rules that limit salt emissions. This research develops an agent-based modeling framework to explore how institutions reverse the FSS. Property owners are represented as agents that apply rules of behavior to apply salt to deice pavement in response to winter weather, vote on institutions, and comply with or defect from institutions. Salt enters the soil-groundwater system through infiltration, which is modeled using a transit time distribution approach. Results demonstrate that stable institutions lead to positive economic outcomes for stakeholders, based on their ability to apply salt during winter events and access high-quality drinking water. Simulations are analyzed to explore institutions, or limits to the application of salt, that emerge based on the interactions of stakeholders as they agree on salt application limits, the intensity of monitoring for defectors, and sanctions. Institutions that emerge effectively limit the concentration of salt in drinking water. The emergence of stable institutions low rates of innovation among stakeholders, and the concentration of salt in groundwater exceeds standards due to high rates of defection among stakeholders. This research demonstrates how self-organized institutions can lead to sustainable application strategies that reverse the FSS.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258991552400018XCommon-pool resourceSaltFreshwater salinization syndromeSocioecological systemInstitution |
| spellingShingle | Kingston Armstrong Yinman Zhong Shantanu V. Bhide Stanley B. Grant Thomas Birkland Emily Zechman Berglund Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach Journal of Hydrology X Common-pool resource Salt Freshwater salinization syndrome Socioecological system Institution |
| title | Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach |
| title_full | Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach |
| title_fullStr | Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach |
| title_full_unstemmed | Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach |
| title_short | Simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization: An agent-based modeling approach |
| title_sort | simulating the emergence of institutions that reverse freshwater salinization an agent based modeling approach |
| topic | Common-pool resource Salt Freshwater salinization syndrome Socioecological system Institution |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258991552400018X |
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