Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning

Earthquakes are a rapid-onset hazard where advance planning and learning plays a key role in mitigating injuries and death to individuals. Recent advances in earthquake detection have resulted in the development of earthquake early warning (EEW) systems. These systems can provide advance warning to...

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Main Authors: Matthew Wood, Sara K. McBride, Xilei Zhao, Dare Baldwin, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Xiaojian Zhang, Nicolas Luco, Ruggiero Lovreglio, Tom Cova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004402
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author Matthew Wood
Sara K. McBride
Xilei Zhao
Dare Baldwin
Elizabeth S. Cochran
Xiaojian Zhang
Nicolas Luco
Ruggiero Lovreglio
Tom Cova
author_facet Matthew Wood
Sara K. McBride
Xilei Zhao
Dare Baldwin
Elizabeth S. Cochran
Xiaojian Zhang
Nicolas Luco
Ruggiero Lovreglio
Tom Cova
author_sort Matthew Wood
collection DOAJ
description Earthquakes are a rapid-onset hazard where advance planning and learning plays a key role in mitigating injuries and death to individuals. Recent advances in earthquake detection have resulted in the development of earthquake early warning (EEW) systems. These systems can provide advance warning to predetermined geographic regions that an earthquake is in progress, which may result in individuals receiving warning seconds before significant shaking is felt at their location. This additional time could allow individuals to take more effective protective actions during the immediate disaster. To demonstrate this, we created an agent-based simulation of a basic apartment that allowed us to randomly and repeatedly simulate an individual receiving and responding to an EEW message. The results of our preliminary simulation show that, in our study environment, earthquake early warning alerts have the potential to allow for sufficient time for individuals to take protective actions.
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spelling doaj-art-fc985e41f98f4422b9b31024d82573a42025-02-10T04:34:36ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-02-01113e42060Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warningMatthew Wood0Sara K. McBride1Xilei Zhao2Dare Baldwin3Elizabeth S. Cochran4Xiaojian Zhang5Nicolas Luco6Ruggiero Lovreglio7Tom Cova8Department of Geography, University of Utah, 260 S Central Dr, RM 4625, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USA; Corresponding author.U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Science Center, Moffett Field, CA, 94040, USADepartment of Civil and Coastal Engineering, University of Florida, 1949 Stadium Rd, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USADepartment of Psychology/Clark Honors College, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, 97405, USAU.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Science Center, Pasadena, CA, USADepartment of Civil and Coastal Engineering, University of Florida, 1949 Stadium Rd, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USAU.S. Geological Survey, Geologic Hazards Science Center, Golden, CO, 80401, USASchool of Built Environment, Massey University, Albany, North Shore, Auckland, 0745, New ZealandDepartment of Geography, University of Utah, 260 S Central Dr, RM 4625, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USAEarthquakes are a rapid-onset hazard where advance planning and learning plays a key role in mitigating injuries and death to individuals. Recent advances in earthquake detection have resulted in the development of earthquake early warning (EEW) systems. These systems can provide advance warning to predetermined geographic regions that an earthquake is in progress, which may result in individuals receiving warning seconds before significant shaking is felt at their location. This additional time could allow individuals to take more effective protective actions during the immediate disaster. To demonstrate this, we created an agent-based simulation of a basic apartment that allowed us to randomly and repeatedly simulate an individual receiving and responding to an EEW message. The results of our preliminary simulation show that, in our study environment, earthquake early warning alerts have the potential to allow for sufficient time for individuals to take protective actions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004402EEW (earthquake early warning)ABM (agent-based modeling)Protective actionSimulation
spellingShingle Matthew Wood
Sara K. McBride
Xilei Zhao
Dare Baldwin
Elizabeth S. Cochran
Xiaojian Zhang
Nicolas Luco
Ruggiero Lovreglio
Tom Cova
Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
Heliyon
EEW (earthquake early warning)
ABM (agent-based modeling)
Protective action
Simulation
title Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
title_full Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
title_fullStr Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
title_full_unstemmed Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
title_short Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
title_sort simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
topic EEW (earthquake early warning)
ABM (agent-based modeling)
Protective action
Simulation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844025004402
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