A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions

The rapid growth in motor vehicle numbers over the years has notably increased air pollution levels, particularly in developing countries. According to the International Energy Agency, road transport significantly contributes to air pollution more than other transportation. This study aims to invest...

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Main Authors: Farzane Omrani, Rouzbeh Shad, Seyed Ali Ziaee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Atmospheric Environment: X
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259016212500005X
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author Farzane Omrani
Rouzbeh Shad
Seyed Ali Ziaee
author_facet Farzane Omrani
Rouzbeh Shad
Seyed Ali Ziaee
author_sort Farzane Omrani
collection DOAJ
description The rapid growth in motor vehicle numbers over the years has notably increased air pollution levels, particularly in developing countries. According to the International Energy Agency, road transport significantly contributes to air pollution more than other transportation. This study aims to investigate the spatial distribution impact of various built environment, sociodemographic, meteorological, and traffic-related features across buffer distances on vehicular emissions from all vehicle types at the link level. Initially, this study restructured data to perform 25 combination models for five emissions from all vehicles, classified into five types. Secondly, regression models were created using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) in ArcGIS Pro, assessing the spatial impact of these features on emissions for each road segment in North Carolina in 2019. Model performance was evaluated using adjusted R-squared and R-squared metrics, with the MGWR model outperforming the OLS model, achieving adjusted R-squared values between 74% and 97%. Finally, it analyzes the spatial distribution impact of each feature on each emission from vehicle types at the link level. Particularly, the significant impact of traffic-related features on vehicular emission offers valuable insights for governments and decision-makers to develop targeted transportation planning strategies and meet air pollution targets set by the state.
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spelling doaj-art-fb3566c78eec4f0e8f1366e8993f16d82025-08-20T03:02:47ZengElsevierAtmospheric Environment: X2590-16212025-01-012510031510.1016/j.aeaoa.2025.100315A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissionsFarzane Omrani0Rouzbeh Shad1Seyed Ali Ziaee2Civil Engineering Department, Engineering Faculty, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, IranCorresponding author.; Civil Engineering Department, Engineering Faculty, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, IranCivil Engineering Department, Engineering Faculty, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, IranThe rapid growth in motor vehicle numbers over the years has notably increased air pollution levels, particularly in developing countries. According to the International Energy Agency, road transport significantly contributes to air pollution more than other transportation. This study aims to investigate the spatial distribution impact of various built environment, sociodemographic, meteorological, and traffic-related features across buffer distances on vehicular emissions from all vehicle types at the link level. Initially, this study restructured data to perform 25 combination models for five emissions from all vehicles, classified into five types. Secondly, regression models were created using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) in ArcGIS Pro, assessing the spatial impact of these features on emissions for each road segment in North Carolina in 2019. Model performance was evaluated using adjusted R-squared and R-squared metrics, with the MGWR model outperforming the OLS model, achieving adjusted R-squared values between 74% and 97%. Finally, it analyzes the spatial distribution impact of each feature on each emission from vehicle types at the link level. Particularly, the significant impact of traffic-related features on vehicular emission offers valuable insights for governments and decision-makers to develop targeted transportation planning strategies and meet air pollution targets set by the state.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259016212500005XVehicular emissionTraffic characteristicsSpatial distributionMGWRMOVES
spellingShingle Farzane Omrani
Rouzbeh Shad
Seyed Ali Ziaee
A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
Atmospheric Environment: X
Vehicular emission
Traffic characteristics
Spatial distribution
MGWR
MOVES
title A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
title_full A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
title_fullStr A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
title_full_unstemmed A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
title_short A multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
title_sort multiscale geographically weighted regression approach to emphasize the effects of traffic characteristics on vehicular emissions
topic Vehicular emission
Traffic characteristics
Spatial distribution
MGWR
MOVES
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259016212500005X
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