Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China

The influences of climate change on water resources availability in Jinjiang Basin, China, were assessed using the Block-wise use of the TOPmodel with the Muskingum-Cunge routing method (BTOPMC) distributed hydrological model. The ensemble average of downscaled output from sixteen GCMs (General Circ...

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Main Authors: Wenchao Sun, Jie Wang, Zhanjie Li, Xiaolei Yao, Jingshan Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/908349
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author Wenchao Sun
Jie Wang
Zhanjie Li
Xiaolei Yao
Jingshan Yu
author_facet Wenchao Sun
Jie Wang
Zhanjie Li
Xiaolei Yao
Jingshan Yu
author_sort Wenchao Sun
collection DOAJ
description The influences of climate change on water resources availability in Jinjiang Basin, China, were assessed using the Block-wise use of the TOPmodel with the Muskingum-Cunge routing method (BTOPMC) distributed hydrological model. The ensemble average of downscaled output from sixteen GCMs (General Circulation Models) for A1B emission scenario (medium CO2 emission) in the 2050s was adopted to build regional climate change scenario. The projected precipitation and temperature data were used to drive BTOPMC for predicting hydrological changes in the 2050s. Results show that evapotranspiration will increase in most time of a year. Runoff in summer to early autumn exhibits an increasing trend, while in the rest period of a year it shows a decreasing trend, especially in spring season. From the viewpoint of water resource availability, it is indicated that it has the possibility that water resources may not be sufficient to fulfill irrigation water demand in the spring season and one possible solution is to store more water in the reservoir in previous summer.
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institution OA Journals
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language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
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series The Scientific World Journal
spelling doaj-art-fa6fdd1dca8f4bffb4beda42fe337f042025-08-20T02:22:37ZengWileyThe Scientific World Journal2356-61401537-744X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/908349908349Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, ChinaWenchao Sun0Jie Wang1Zhanjie Li2Xiaolei Yao3Jingshan Yu4College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, Beijing 100875, ChinaInterdisciplinary Graduate School of Medicine and Engineering, University of Yamanashi, 4-3-11, Takeda, Kofu, Yamanashi 400-8511, JapanCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, Beijing 100875, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, Beijing 100875, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, Beijing 100875, ChinaThe influences of climate change on water resources availability in Jinjiang Basin, China, were assessed using the Block-wise use of the TOPmodel with the Muskingum-Cunge routing method (BTOPMC) distributed hydrological model. The ensemble average of downscaled output from sixteen GCMs (General Circulation Models) for A1B emission scenario (medium CO2 emission) in the 2050s was adopted to build regional climate change scenario. The projected precipitation and temperature data were used to drive BTOPMC for predicting hydrological changes in the 2050s. Results show that evapotranspiration will increase in most time of a year. Runoff in summer to early autumn exhibits an increasing trend, while in the rest period of a year it shows a decreasing trend, especially in spring season. From the viewpoint of water resource availability, it is indicated that it has the possibility that water resources may not be sufficient to fulfill irrigation water demand in the spring season and one possible solution is to store more water in the reservoir in previous summer.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/908349
spellingShingle Wenchao Sun
Jie Wang
Zhanjie Li
Xiaolei Yao
Jingshan Yu
Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
The Scientific World Journal
title Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
title_full Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
title_fullStr Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
title_full_unstemmed Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
title_short Influences of Climate Change on Water Resources Availability in Jinjiang Basin, China
title_sort influences of climate change on water resources availability in jinjiang basin china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/908349
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