Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN

Energy system flexibility is necessary to accommodate the expansion of variable renewable electricity. The EnergyPLAN tool is useful for simulating energy systems with high shares of variable renewable energy sources by representing supply and demand side technologies and verifying the balance of t...

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Main Authors: José Campos, Béla Munkácsy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Aalborg University Open Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.discurso.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/8394
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author José Campos
Béla Munkácsy
author_facet José Campos
Béla Munkácsy
author_sort José Campos
collection DOAJ
description Energy system flexibility is necessary to accommodate the expansion of variable renewable electricity. The EnergyPLAN tool is useful for simulating energy systems with high shares of variable renewable energy sources by representing supply and demand side technologies and verifying the balance of the system with an hourly resolution. This paper proposes a methodology to investigate the potential and availability of the flexible electricity demand of residential (individual) heat pumps providing heating, cooling, and domestic hot water to reduce surplus (excess) generation. The methodology was applied to a theoretical scenario of the Hungarian electricity system as a case study. The theoretical flexible demand resulted in an average monthly reduction of 30% in surplus power. At its peak in February, the reduction reached nearly 50% of the surplus power. However, during the most critical period (May), it dropped to just 7% due to the limited availability of flexible demand. Given the significant variation and the fact that the surplus was not eliminated in any month, the value of flexible demand under the conditions of the case study may be limited. The key practical takeaway from this paper is the methodology for representing the availability of flexible demand from residential heat pumps, which is applicable to country-level EnergyPLAN models.
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spelling doaj-art-f964a2f650254dd4950273b57dae31bd2025-01-17T16:45:44ZengAalborg University Open PublishingInternational Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management2246-29292025-01-014310.54337/ijsepm.8394Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLANJosé Campos0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5793-0776Béla Munkácsy1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4207-1299a:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:4:"ELTE";}Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Environmental and Landscape Geography Energy system flexibility is necessary to accommodate the expansion of variable renewable electricity. The EnergyPLAN tool is useful for simulating energy systems with high shares of variable renewable energy sources by representing supply and demand side technologies and verifying the balance of the system with an hourly resolution. This paper proposes a methodology to investigate the potential and availability of the flexible electricity demand of residential (individual) heat pumps providing heating, cooling, and domestic hot water to reduce surplus (excess) generation. The methodology was applied to a theoretical scenario of the Hungarian electricity system as a case study. The theoretical flexible demand resulted in an average monthly reduction of 30% in surplus power. At its peak in February, the reduction reached nearly 50% of the surplus power. However, during the most critical period (May), it dropped to just 7% due to the limited availability of flexible demand. Given the significant variation and the fact that the surplus was not eliminated in any month, the value of flexible demand under the conditions of the case study may be limited. The key practical takeaway from this paper is the methodology for representing the availability of flexible demand from residential heat pumps, which is applicable to country-level EnergyPLAN models. https://www.discurso.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/8394Flexible demandEnergyPLANIndividual heat pumpIntegrationExcess electricity
spellingShingle José Campos
Béla Munkácsy
Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
Flexible demand
EnergyPLAN
Individual heat pump
Integration
Excess electricity
title Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
title_full Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
title_fullStr Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
title_short Estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in EnergyPLAN
title_sort estimating the potential of residential heat pumps to reduce surplus electricity using the flexible demand tool in energyplan
topic Flexible demand
EnergyPLAN
Individual heat pump
Integration
Excess electricity
url https://www.discurso.aau.dk/index.php/sepm/article/view/8394
work_keys_str_mv AT josecampos estimatingthepotentialofresidentialheatpumpstoreducesurpluselectricityusingtheflexibledemandtoolinenergyplan
AT belamunkacsy estimatingthepotentialofresidentialheatpumpstoreducesurpluselectricityusingtheflexibledemandtoolinenergyplan