Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality

Abstract The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in...

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Main Authors: Fulden Batibeniz, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Srinidhi Jha, Andreia Ribeiro, Laura Suarez Gutierrez, Christoph C. Raible, Avni Malhotra, Ben Armstrong, Michelle L. Bell, Eric Lavigne, Antonio Gasparrini, Yuming Guo, Masahiro Hashizume, Pierre Masselot, Susana Pereira da Silva, Dominic Royé, Francesco Sera, Shilu Tong, Aleš Urban, Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8
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author Fulden Batibeniz
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Srinidhi Jha
Andreia Ribeiro
Laura Suarez Gutierrez
Christoph C. Raible
Avni Malhotra
Ben Armstrong
Michelle L. Bell
Eric Lavigne
Antonio Gasparrini
Yuming Guo
Masahiro Hashizume
Pierre Masselot
Susana Pereira da Silva
Dominic Royé
Francesco Sera
Shilu Tong
Aleš Urban
Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera
author_facet Fulden Batibeniz
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Srinidhi Jha
Andreia Ribeiro
Laura Suarez Gutierrez
Christoph C. Raible
Avni Malhotra
Ben Armstrong
Michelle L. Bell
Eric Lavigne
Antonio Gasparrini
Yuming Guo
Masahiro Hashizume
Pierre Masselot
Susana Pereira da Silva
Dominic Royé
Francesco Sera
Shilu Tong
Aleš Urban
Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera
author_sort Fulden Batibeniz
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.
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series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-f80d464640814150bfc11aecde2fd7e52025-01-12T12:14:39ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-011511810.1038/s41598-024-82788-8Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortalityFulden Batibeniz0Sonia I. Seneviratne1Srinidhi Jha2Andreia Ribeiro3Laura Suarez Gutierrez4Christoph C. Raible5Avni Malhotra6Ben Armstrong7Michelle L. Bell8Eric Lavigne9Antonio Gasparrini10Yuming Guo11Masahiro Hashizume12Pierre Masselot13Susana Pereira da Silva14Dominic Royé15Francesco Sera16Shilu Tong17Aleš Urban18Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera19Department of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH ZurichDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH ZurichDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH ZurichDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH ZurichDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH ZurichOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR), University of BernBiological Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National LaboratoryDepartment of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineSchool of the Environment, Yale UniversityFaculty of Medicine, School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of OttawaEnvironment and Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash UniversityDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of TokyoEnvironment and Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineDepartment of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo JorgeClimate Research Foundation (FIC)Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications “G. Parenti”, University of FlorenceChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Environmental HealthInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of SciencesOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR), University of BernAbstract The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8
spellingShingle Fulden Batibeniz
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Srinidhi Jha
Andreia Ribeiro
Laura Suarez Gutierrez
Christoph C. Raible
Avni Malhotra
Ben Armstrong
Michelle L. Bell
Eric Lavigne
Antonio Gasparrini
Yuming Guo
Masahiro Hashizume
Pierre Masselot
Susana Pereira da Silva
Dominic Royé
Francesco Sera
Shilu Tong
Aleš Urban
Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera
Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
Scientific Reports
title Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
title_full Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
title_fullStr Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
title_full_unstemmed Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
title_short Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
title_sort rapid climate action is needed comparing heat vs covid 19 related mortality
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8
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