Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution

With significant development of sensors and Internet of things, researchers nowadays can easily know what happens in physical space by acquiring time-varying values of various factors. Essentially, growing data category and size greatly contribute to solve problems happened in physical space. In thi...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yirui Wu, Yukai Ding, Yuelong Zhu, Jun Feng, Sifeng Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7670382
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832563193284657152
author Yirui Wu
Yukai Ding
Yuelong Zhu
Jun Feng
Sifeng Wang
author_facet Yirui Wu
Yukai Ding
Yuelong Zhu
Jun Feng
Sifeng Wang
author_sort Yirui Wu
collection DOAJ
description With significant development of sensors and Internet of things, researchers nowadays can easily know what happens in physical space by acquiring time-varying values of various factors. Essentially, growing data category and size greatly contribute to solve problems happened in physical space. In this paper, we aim to solve a complex problem that affects both cities and villages, i.e., flood. To reduce impacts induced by floods, hydrological factors acquired from physical space and data-driven models in cyber space have been adopted to accurately forecast floods. Considering the significance of modeling attention capability among hydrology factors, we believe extraction of discriminative hydrology factors not only reflect natural rules in physical space, but also optimally model iterations of factors to forecast run-off values in cyber space. Therefore, we propose a novel data-driven model named as STA-LSTM by integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) structure and spatiotemporal attention module, which is capable of forecasting floods for small- and medium-sized rivers. The proposed spatiotemporal attention module firstly explores spatial relationship between input hydrological factors from different locations and run-off outputs, which assigns time-varying weights to various factors. Afterwards, the proposed attention module allocates temporal-dependent weights to hidden output of each LSTM cell, which describes significance of state output for final forecasting results. Taking Lech and Changhua river basins as cases of physical space, several groups of comparative experiments show that STA-LSTM is capable to optimize complexity of mathematically modeling floods in cyber space.
format Article
id doaj-art-f7962b23087d49ef9a93a895f5744033
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-f7962b23087d49ef9a93a895f57440332025-02-03T01:20:46ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/76703827670382Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM SolutionYirui Wu0Yukai Ding1Yuelong Zhu2Jun Feng3Sifeng Wang4College of Computer and Information, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaSchool of Information Science and Engineering, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, ChinaWith significant development of sensors and Internet of things, researchers nowadays can easily know what happens in physical space by acquiring time-varying values of various factors. Essentially, growing data category and size greatly contribute to solve problems happened in physical space. In this paper, we aim to solve a complex problem that affects both cities and villages, i.e., flood. To reduce impacts induced by floods, hydrological factors acquired from physical space and data-driven models in cyber space have been adopted to accurately forecast floods. Considering the significance of modeling attention capability among hydrology factors, we believe extraction of discriminative hydrology factors not only reflect natural rules in physical space, but also optimally model iterations of factors to forecast run-off values in cyber space. Therefore, we propose a novel data-driven model named as STA-LSTM by integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) structure and spatiotemporal attention module, which is capable of forecasting floods for small- and medium-sized rivers. The proposed spatiotemporal attention module firstly explores spatial relationship between input hydrological factors from different locations and run-off outputs, which assigns time-varying weights to various factors. Afterwards, the proposed attention module allocates temporal-dependent weights to hidden output of each LSTM cell, which describes significance of state output for final forecasting results. Taking Lech and Changhua river basins as cases of physical space, several groups of comparative experiments show that STA-LSTM is capable to optimize complexity of mathematically modeling floods in cyber space.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7670382
spellingShingle Yirui Wu
Yukai Ding
Yuelong Zhu
Jun Feng
Sifeng Wang
Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
Complexity
title Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
title_full Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
title_fullStr Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
title_full_unstemmed Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
title_short Complexity to Forecast Flood: Problem Definition and Spatiotemporal Attention LSTM Solution
title_sort complexity to forecast flood problem definition and spatiotemporal attention lstm solution
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7670382
work_keys_str_mv AT yiruiwu complexitytoforecastfloodproblemdefinitionandspatiotemporalattentionlstmsolution
AT yukaiding complexitytoforecastfloodproblemdefinitionandspatiotemporalattentionlstmsolution
AT yuelongzhu complexitytoforecastfloodproblemdefinitionandspatiotemporalattentionlstmsolution
AT junfeng complexitytoforecastfloodproblemdefinitionandspatiotemporalattentionlstmsolution
AT sifengwang complexitytoforecastfloodproblemdefinitionandspatiotemporalattentionlstmsolution