A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals

This paper presents the generation of a plausible data set related to the needs of COVID-19 patients with severe or critical symptoms. Possible illness’ stages were proposed within the context of medical knowledge as of January 2021. The parameters chosen in this data set were customized to fit the...

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Main Authors: Juan A. Marin-Garcia, Angel Ruiz, Maheut Julien, Jose P. Garcia-Sabater
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitat Politècnica de València 2021-05-01
Series:WPOM : Working Papers on Operations Management
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Online Access:https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/WPOM/article/view/15332
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author Juan A. Marin-Garcia
Angel Ruiz
Maheut Julien
Jose P. Garcia-Sabater
author_facet Juan A. Marin-Garcia
Angel Ruiz
Maheut Julien
Jose P. Garcia-Sabater
author_sort Juan A. Marin-Garcia
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents the generation of a plausible data set related to the needs of COVID-19 patients with severe or critical symptoms. Possible illness’ stages were proposed within the context of medical knowledge as of January 2021. The parameters chosen in this data set were customized to fit the population data of the Valencia region (Spain) with approximately 2.5 million inhabitants. They were based on the evolution of the pandemic between September 2020 and March 2021, a period that included two complete waves of the pandemic. Contrary to expectation and despite the European and national transparency laws (BOE-A2013-12887, 2013; European Parliament and Council of the European Union, 2019), the actual COVID-19 pandemic-related data, at least in Spain, took considerable time to be updated and made available (usually a week or more). Moreover, some relevant data necessary to develop and validate hospital bed management models were not publicly accessible. This was either because these data were not collected, because public agencies failed to make them public (despite having them indexed in their databases), the data were processed within indicators and not shown as raw data, or they simply published the data in a format that was difficult to process (e.g., PDF image documents versus CSV tables). Despite the potential of hospital information systems, there were still data that were not adequately captured within these systems. Moreover, the data collected in a hospital depends on the strategies and practices specific to that hospital or health system. This limits the generalization of "real" data, and it encourages working with "realistic" or plausible data that are clean of interactions with local variables or decisions (Gunal, 2012; Marin-Garcia et al., 2020). Besides, one can parameterize the model and define the data structure that would be necessary to run the model without delaying till the real data become available. Conversely, plausible data sets can be generated from publicly available information and, later, when real data become available, the accuracy of the model can be evaluated (Garcia-Sabater and Maheut, 2021). This work opens lines of future research, both theoretical and practical. From a theoretical point of view, it would be interesting to develop machine learning tools that, by analyzing specific data samples in real hospitals, can identify the parameters necessary for the automatic prototyping of generators adapted to each hospital. Regarding the lines of research applied, it is evident that the formalism proposed for the generation of sound patients is not limited to patients affected by SARS-CoV-2 infection. The generation of heterogeneous patients can represent the needs of a specific population and serve as a basis for studying complex health service delivery systems.
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spelling doaj-art-f73ed074ab9147b7b1316e76f41bacbe2025-01-02T19:55:25ZengUniversitat Politècnica de ValènciaWPOM : Working Papers on Operations Management1989-90682021-05-011217611510.4995/wpom.153328740A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitalsJuan A. Marin-Garcia0Angel Ruiz1Maheut Julien2Jose P. Garcia-Sabater3Universitat Politècnica de ValènciaFSA ULavalUniversitat Politècnica de ValènciaUniversitat Politècnica de ValènciaThis paper presents the generation of a plausible data set related to the needs of COVID-19 patients with severe or critical symptoms. Possible illness’ stages were proposed within the context of medical knowledge as of January 2021. The parameters chosen in this data set were customized to fit the population data of the Valencia region (Spain) with approximately 2.5 million inhabitants. They were based on the evolution of the pandemic between September 2020 and March 2021, a period that included two complete waves of the pandemic. Contrary to expectation and despite the European and national transparency laws (BOE-A2013-12887, 2013; European Parliament and Council of the European Union, 2019), the actual COVID-19 pandemic-related data, at least in Spain, took considerable time to be updated and made available (usually a week or more). Moreover, some relevant data necessary to develop and validate hospital bed management models were not publicly accessible. This was either because these data were not collected, because public agencies failed to make them public (despite having them indexed in their databases), the data were processed within indicators and not shown as raw data, or they simply published the data in a format that was difficult to process (e.g., PDF image documents versus CSV tables). Despite the potential of hospital information systems, there were still data that were not adequately captured within these systems. Moreover, the data collected in a hospital depends on the strategies and practices specific to that hospital or health system. This limits the generalization of "real" data, and it encourages working with "realistic" or plausible data that are clean of interactions with local variables or decisions (Gunal, 2012; Marin-Garcia et al., 2020). Besides, one can parameterize the model and define the data structure that would be necessary to run the model without delaying till the real data become available. Conversely, plausible data sets can be generated from publicly available information and, later, when real data become available, the accuracy of the model can be evaluated (Garcia-Sabater and Maheut, 2021). This work opens lines of future research, both theoretical and practical. From a theoretical point of view, it would be interesting to develop machine learning tools that, by analyzing specific data samples in real hospitals, can identify the parameters necessary for the automatic prototyping of generators adapted to each hospital. Regarding the lines of research applied, it is evident that the formalism proposed for the generation of sound patients is not limited to patients affected by SARS-CoV-2 infection. The generation of heterogeneous patients can represent the needs of a specific population and serve as a basis for studying complex health service delivery systems.https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/WPOM/article/view/15332data papersimulated data setcovid-19hospitalbed managementhealthcareoperations management
spellingShingle Juan A. Marin-Garcia
Angel Ruiz
Maheut Julien
Jose P. Garcia-Sabater
A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
WPOM : Working Papers on Operations Management
data paper
simulated data set
covid-19
hospital
bed management
healthcare
operations management
title A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
title_full A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
title_fullStr A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
title_full_unstemmed A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
title_short A data generator for covid-19 patients’ care requirements inside hospitals
title_sort data generator for covid 19 patients care requirements inside hospitals
topic data paper
simulated data set
covid-19
hospital
bed management
healthcare
operations management
url https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/WPOM/article/view/15332
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