The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19
After the occurrence of public health emergencies, due to the uncertainty of the evolution of events and the asymmetry of pandemic information, the public’s risk perception will fluctuate dramatically. Excessive risk perception often causes the public to overreact to emergencies, resulting in irrati...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Complexity |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/1015049 |
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| _version_ | 1832546032500604928 |
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| author | Yi-Cheng Zhang Zhi Li Guo-Bing Zhou Nai-Ru Xu Jia-Bao Liu |
| author_facet | Yi-Cheng Zhang Zhi Li Guo-Bing Zhou Nai-Ru Xu Jia-Bao Liu |
| author_sort | Yi-Cheng Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | After the occurrence of public health emergencies, due to the uncertainty of the evolution of events and the asymmetry of pandemic information, the public’s risk perception will fluctuate dramatically. Excessive risk perception often causes the public to overreact to emergencies, resulting in irrational behaviors, which have a negative impact on economic development and social order. However, low-risk perception will reduce individual awareness of prevention and control, which is not conducive to the implementation of government pandemic prevention and control measures. Therefore, it is of great significance to accurately evaluate public risk perception for improving government risk management. This paper took the evolution of public risk perception based on the COVID-19 region as the research object. First, we analyze the characteristics of infectious diseases in the evolution of public risk perception of public health emergencies. Second, we analyze the characteristics of risk perception transmission in social networks. Third, we establish the dynamic model of public risk perception evolution based on SEIR, and the evolution mechanism of the public risk perception network is revealed through simulation experiments. Finally, we provide policy suggestions for government departments to deal with public health emergencies based on the conclusions of this study. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-f610c89568194edeb7d40f35ef6b000f |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1099-0526 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Complexity |
| spelling | doaj-art-f610c89568194edeb7d40f35ef6b000f2025-02-03T07:24:11ZengWileyComplexity1099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/1015049The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19Yi-Cheng Zhang0Zhi Li1Guo-Bing Zhou2Nai-Ru Xu3Jia-Bao Liu4School of BusinessSchool of ManagementCenter for Financial Engineering of Soochow UniversitySchool of BusinessSchool of Mathematics and PhysicsAfter the occurrence of public health emergencies, due to the uncertainty of the evolution of events and the asymmetry of pandemic information, the public’s risk perception will fluctuate dramatically. Excessive risk perception often causes the public to overreact to emergencies, resulting in irrational behaviors, which have a negative impact on economic development and social order. However, low-risk perception will reduce individual awareness of prevention and control, which is not conducive to the implementation of government pandemic prevention and control measures. Therefore, it is of great significance to accurately evaluate public risk perception for improving government risk management. This paper took the evolution of public risk perception based on the COVID-19 region as the research object. First, we analyze the characteristics of infectious diseases in the evolution of public risk perception of public health emergencies. Second, we analyze the characteristics of risk perception transmission in social networks. Third, we establish the dynamic model of public risk perception evolution based on SEIR, and the evolution mechanism of the public risk perception network is revealed through simulation experiments. Finally, we provide policy suggestions for government departments to deal with public health emergencies based on the conclusions of this study.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/1015049 |
| spellingShingle | Yi-Cheng Zhang Zhi Li Guo-Bing Zhou Nai-Ru Xu Jia-Bao Liu The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 Complexity |
| title | The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 |
| title_full | The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 |
| title_fullStr | The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 |
| title_short | The Evolution Model of Public Risk Perception Based on Pandemic Spreading Theory under Perspective of COVID-19 |
| title_sort | evolution model of public risk perception based on pandemic spreading theory under perspective of covid 19 |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/1015049 |
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