Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making

The article is devoted to operational forecasting and decision-making features in elective surgery. The paper presents the original formula predictive of death based on the study of operational outcomes described five types of predictions. It is shown that only a combination of normative and descrip...

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Main Author: N. A. Kuznetsov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Sechenov University) 2014-06-01
Series:Сеченовский вестник
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.sechenovmedj.com/jour/article/view/738
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author N. A. Kuznetsov
author_facet N. A. Kuznetsov
author_sort N. A. Kuznetsov
collection DOAJ
description The article is devoted to operational forecasting and decision-making features in elective surgery. The paper presents the original formula predictive of death based on the study of operational outcomes described five types of predictions. It is shown that only a combination of normative and descriptive hiking allows you to build evidence based decision making. Only the application of the scientific approach will allow the person making the decision, more objectively assess a problem situation, to take into account the available resources and constraints to formulate and analyze solutions, choose from them acceptable. In the article the problem of operational forecasting and rational theory of decision making in general and oncology considered and developed as an integrated, interdisciplinary, involving philosophy, mathematics, statistics and psychology.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2218-7332
2658-3348
language Russian
publishDate 2014-06-01
publisher Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Sechenov University)
record_format Article
series Сеченовский вестник
spelling doaj-art-f5e8ecaf35e8461dabf2811156b57a0e2025-08-20T03:59:03ZrusFederal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (Sechenov University)Сеченовский вестник2218-73322658-33482014-06-01026571432Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-makingN. A. Kuznetsov0I.M. Sechenov MSMUThe article is devoted to operational forecasting and decision-making features in elective surgery. The paper presents the original formula predictive of death based on the study of operational outcomes described five types of predictions. It is shown that only a combination of normative and descriptive hiking allows you to build evidence based decision making. Only the application of the scientific approach will allow the person making the decision, more objectively assess a problem situation, to take into account the available resources and constraints to formulate and analyze solutions, choose from them acceptable. In the article the problem of operational forecasting and rational theory of decision making in general and oncology considered and developed as an integrated, interdisciplinary, involving philosophy, mathematics, statistics and psychology.https://www.sechenovmedj.com/jour/article/view/738forecast in elective surgerydecision-making in surgerythe classification of criteria for the operational forecastdescriptive and normative approaches in decision-making
spellingShingle N. A. Kuznetsov
Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
Сеченовский вестник
forecast in elective surgery
decision-making in surgery
the classification of criteria for the operational forecast
descriptive and normative approaches in decision-making
title Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
title_full Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
title_fullStr Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
title_full_unstemmed Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
title_short Elective surgery: operational forecast and decision-making
title_sort elective surgery operational forecast and decision making
topic forecast in elective surgery
decision-making in surgery
the classification of criteria for the operational forecast
descriptive and normative approaches in decision-making
url https://www.sechenovmedj.com/jour/article/view/738
work_keys_str_mv AT nakuznetsov electivesurgeryoperationalforecastanddecisionmaking