A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning

Abstract Cerebral aneurysms are a silent yet prevalent condition that affects a significant global population. Their development can be attributed to various factors, presentations, and treatment approaches. The importance of selecting the appropriate treatment becomes evident upon diagnosis, as the...

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Main Authors: Mostafa Zakeri, Amirhossein Atef, Mohammad Aziznia, Azadeh Jafari
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-66840-1
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author Mostafa Zakeri
Amirhossein Atef
Mohammad Aziznia
Azadeh Jafari
author_facet Mostafa Zakeri
Amirhossein Atef
Mohammad Aziznia
Azadeh Jafari
author_sort Mostafa Zakeri
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cerebral aneurysms are a silent yet prevalent condition that affects a significant global population. Their development can be attributed to various factors, presentations, and treatment approaches. The importance of selecting the appropriate treatment becomes evident upon diagnosis, as the severity of the disease guides the course of action. Cerebral aneurysms are particularly vulnerable in the circle of Willis and pose a significant concern due to the potential for rupture, which can lead to irreversible consequences, including fatality. The primary objective of this study is to predict the rupture status of cerebral aneurysms. To achieve this, we leverage a comprehensive dataset that incorporates clinical and morphological data extracted from 3D real geometries of previous patients. The aim of this research is to provide valuable insights that can help make informed decisions during the treatment process and potentially save the lives of future patients. Diagnosing and predicting aneurysm rupture based solely on brain scans is a significant challenge with limited reliability, even for experienced physicians. However, by employing statistical methods and machine learning techniques, we can assist physicians in making more confident predictions regarding rupture likelihood and selecting appropriate treatment strategies. To achieve this, we used 5 classification machine learning algorithms and trained them on a substantial database comprising 708 cerebral aneurysms. The dataset comprised 3 clinical features and 35 morphological parameters, including 8 novel morphological features introduced for the first time in this study. Our models demonstrated exceptional performance in predicting cerebral aneurysm rupture, with accuracy ranging from 0.76 to 0.82 and precision score from 0.79 to 0.83 for the test dataset. As the data are sensitive and the condition is critical, recall is prioritized as the more crucial parameter over accuracy and precision, and our models achieved outstanding recall score ranging from 0.85 to 0.92. Overall, the best model was Support Vector Machin with an accuracy and precision of 0.82, recall of 0.92 for the testing dataset and the area under curve of 0.84. The ellipticity index, size ratio, and shape irregularity are pivotal features in predicting aneurysm rupture, respectively, contributing significantly to our understanding of this complex condition. Among the multitude of parameters under investigation, these are particularly important. In this study, the ideal roundness parameter was introduced as a novel consideration and ranked fifth among all 38 parameters. Neck circumference and outlet numbers from the new parameters were also deemed significant contributors.
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spelling doaj-art-f4c656c5fdbe413b89eedc8bd16e642f2025-08-24T11:31:25ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-07-0114111110.1038/s41598-024-66840-1A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learningMostafa Zakeri0Amirhossein Atef1Mohammad Aziznia2Azadeh Jafari3CNNFM Lab, School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of TehranCNNFM Lab, School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of TehranCNNFM Lab, School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of TehranCNNFM Lab, School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of TehranAbstract Cerebral aneurysms are a silent yet prevalent condition that affects a significant global population. Their development can be attributed to various factors, presentations, and treatment approaches. The importance of selecting the appropriate treatment becomes evident upon diagnosis, as the severity of the disease guides the course of action. Cerebral aneurysms are particularly vulnerable in the circle of Willis and pose a significant concern due to the potential for rupture, which can lead to irreversible consequences, including fatality. The primary objective of this study is to predict the rupture status of cerebral aneurysms. To achieve this, we leverage a comprehensive dataset that incorporates clinical and morphological data extracted from 3D real geometries of previous patients. The aim of this research is to provide valuable insights that can help make informed decisions during the treatment process and potentially save the lives of future patients. Diagnosing and predicting aneurysm rupture based solely on brain scans is a significant challenge with limited reliability, even for experienced physicians. However, by employing statistical methods and machine learning techniques, we can assist physicians in making more confident predictions regarding rupture likelihood and selecting appropriate treatment strategies. To achieve this, we used 5 classification machine learning algorithms and trained them on a substantial database comprising 708 cerebral aneurysms. The dataset comprised 3 clinical features and 35 morphological parameters, including 8 novel morphological features introduced for the first time in this study. Our models demonstrated exceptional performance in predicting cerebral aneurysm rupture, with accuracy ranging from 0.76 to 0.82 and precision score from 0.79 to 0.83 for the test dataset. As the data are sensitive and the condition is critical, recall is prioritized as the more crucial parameter over accuracy and precision, and our models achieved outstanding recall score ranging from 0.85 to 0.92. Overall, the best model was Support Vector Machin with an accuracy and precision of 0.82, recall of 0.92 for the testing dataset and the area under curve of 0.84. The ellipticity index, size ratio, and shape irregularity are pivotal features in predicting aneurysm rupture, respectively, contributing significantly to our understanding of this complex condition. Among the multitude of parameters under investigation, these are particularly important. In this study, the ideal roundness parameter was introduced as a novel consideration and ranked fifth among all 38 parameters. Neck circumference and outlet numbers from the new parameters were also deemed significant contributors.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-66840-1Cerebral aneurysmRupture predictionMorphological parametersMachine learningClassification
spellingShingle Mostafa Zakeri
Amirhossein Atef
Mohammad Aziznia
Azadeh Jafari
A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
Scientific Reports
Cerebral aneurysm
Rupture prediction
Morphological parameters
Machine learning
Classification
title A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
title_full A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
title_fullStr A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
title_full_unstemmed A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
title_short A comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
title_sort comprehensive investigation of morphological features responsible for cerebral aneurysm rupture using machine learning
topic Cerebral aneurysm
Rupture prediction
Morphological parameters
Machine learning
Classification
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-66840-1
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