Optimizing Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting: A Comparative Approach to the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting

The current paper presents a forecasting methodology for short-term water demand forecasting in the context of the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting. The methodology considers five distinct forecasting techniques, which are compared in terms of their forecasting ability for a preceding period, typi...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bruno Ferreira, Raquel Barreira, João Caetano, Maria Grazia Quarta, Nelson Carriço
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Engineering Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4591/69/1/48
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:The current paper presents a forecasting methodology for short-term water demand forecasting in the context of the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting. The methodology considers five distinct forecasting techniques, which are compared in terms of their forecasting ability for a preceding period, typically spanning a day or a week. The best-performing model is identified through error assessment between model predictions and actual measurements. This model is finally used to estimate the values for the forecasting horizon. This methodology directly considers the importance of tailoring the model to the specific case study and objectives. However, it is computationally intensive and relies on the fact that there will be not much variance between the preceding period and forecasting horizon results.
ISSN:2673-4591