Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model
This paper investigates a key objective of BRICS: the establishment of an alternative international currency as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy. This effort has gained urgency, primarily due to Russia’s need to bypass Western sanctions and China’s advancement of the Belt and Road Initiat...
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Elsevier
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853124002348 |
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| author | Iman Bastanifar Kashif Hasan Khan Halil Koch |
| author_facet | Iman Bastanifar Kashif Hasan Khan Halil Koch |
| author_sort | Iman Bastanifar |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper investigates a key objective of BRICS: the establishment of an alternative international currency as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy. This effort has gained urgency, primarily due to Russia’s need to bypass Western sanctions and China’s advancement of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). By applying the Morris Method, the study introduces the BRICSIZATION index—a quantitative panel index measuring the level of independence from the dollar among BRICS members from 2003 to 2022. In the analysis, inflation rates and the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) of BRICS founding members are used as independent variables within a Panel Random Effect OLS and GLS model. The findings reveal that the average BRICSIZATION index is over 72 % out of 100 %, indicating a significant degree of progress toward de-dollarization. Within the BRICS framework, the currencies of Brazil, China, and South Africa are strong candidates for a new currency basket, achieving an average index of 93 %. Meanwhile, the currencies of India and Russia, with an average index of 37 %, are identified as weaker contributors to the basket. The study also highlights that economic instability—whether from inflation or heightened geopolitical tensions (as indicated by a rising GPR)—tends to reduce the BRICSIZATION index. This suggests that macroeconomic policies like inflation targeting, along with strengthened international relations among countries aiming for reduced dollar dependence, are essential to achieving de-dollarization. This analysis underscores the potential and challenges of creating a new currency bloc independent of the dollar, reflecting both the strategic interests and vulnerabilities within BRICS. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-f4616420b4fa40439995a6716f8805d8 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2199-8531 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
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| series | Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity |
| spelling | doaj-art-f4616420b4fa40439995a6716f8805d82024-12-02T05:04:44ZengElsevierJournal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity2199-85312025-03-01111100440Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical modelIman Bastanifar0Kashif Hasan Khan1Halil Koch2Department of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, university of Isfahan, Isfahan, IranDepartment of Economics, Ala-Too International University, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan; Corresponding author.North American University, TX, USAThis paper investigates a key objective of BRICS: the establishment of an alternative international currency as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy. This effort has gained urgency, primarily due to Russia’s need to bypass Western sanctions and China’s advancement of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). By applying the Morris Method, the study introduces the BRICSIZATION index—a quantitative panel index measuring the level of independence from the dollar among BRICS members from 2003 to 2022. In the analysis, inflation rates and the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) of BRICS founding members are used as independent variables within a Panel Random Effect OLS and GLS model. The findings reveal that the average BRICSIZATION index is over 72 % out of 100 %, indicating a significant degree of progress toward de-dollarization. Within the BRICS framework, the currencies of Brazil, China, and South Africa are strong candidates for a new currency basket, achieving an average index of 93 %. Meanwhile, the currencies of India and Russia, with an average index of 37 %, are identified as weaker contributors to the basket. The study also highlights that economic instability—whether from inflation or heightened geopolitical tensions (as indicated by a rising GPR)—tends to reduce the BRICSIZATION index. This suggests that macroeconomic policies like inflation targeting, along with strengthened international relations among countries aiming for reduced dollar dependence, are essential to achieving de-dollarization. This analysis underscores the potential and challenges of creating a new currency bloc independent of the dollar, reflecting both the strategic interests and vulnerabilities within BRICS.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853124002348BRICSIZATIONInflationGPRMorris method |
| spellingShingle | Iman Bastanifar Kashif Hasan Khan Halil Koch Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity BRICSIZATION Inflation GPR Morris method |
| title | Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model |
| title_full | Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model |
| title_fullStr | Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model |
| title_short | Understanding BRICSIZATION through an economic geopolitical model |
| title_sort | understanding bricsization through an economic geopolitical model |
| topic | BRICSIZATION Inflation GPR Morris method |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853124002348 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT imanbastanifar understandingbricsizationthroughaneconomicgeopoliticalmodel AT kashifhasankhan understandingbricsizationthroughaneconomicgeopoliticalmodel AT halilkoch understandingbricsizationthroughaneconomicgeopoliticalmodel |