When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic

Abstract The AMOC FINGERPRINT and GYRE INDEX are two widely used metrics by the oceanographic community to assess whether northward ocean heat transport, and consequently temperature variability in the subpolar North Atlantic, is primarily governed by the Atlantic overturning circulation or the hori...

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Main Authors: Léon Chafik, M. Susan Lozier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-02-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112496
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author Léon Chafik
M. Susan Lozier
author_facet Léon Chafik
M. Susan Lozier
author_sort Léon Chafik
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The AMOC FINGERPRINT and GYRE INDEX are two widely used metrics by the oceanographic community to assess whether northward ocean heat transport, and consequently temperature variability in the subpolar North Atlantic, is primarily governed by the Atlantic overturning circulation or the horizontal gyre circulation. Although these metrics are presented as distinct measures of subpolar ocean circulation, we contend that they are not unique indicators of the dynamics they are intended to represent. Instead, our analysis demonstrates that both metrics are essentially capturing variability in upper ocean heat content, which can result from a number of mechanisms. This conclusion, corroborated with direct overturning measurements from the OSNAP and RAPID programs, raises concerns about the use of these metrics to infer the dynamics responsible for past and projected changes in subpolar ocean temperatures.
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spelling doaj-art-f3df9a3c2eeb44ef8fcb82b746a6cc272025-08-20T02:52:30ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-02-01523n/an/a10.1029/2024GL112496When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North AtlanticLéon Chafik0M. Susan Lozier1Department of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research Stockholm University Stockholm SwedenSchool of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta GA USAAbstract The AMOC FINGERPRINT and GYRE INDEX are two widely used metrics by the oceanographic community to assess whether northward ocean heat transport, and consequently temperature variability in the subpolar North Atlantic, is primarily governed by the Atlantic overturning circulation or the horizontal gyre circulation. Although these metrics are presented as distinct measures of subpolar ocean circulation, we contend that they are not unique indicators of the dynamics they are intended to represent. Instead, our analysis demonstrates that both metrics are essentially capturing variability in upper ocean heat content, which can result from a number of mechanisms. This conclusion, corroborated with direct overturning measurements from the OSNAP and RAPID programs, raises concerns about the use of these metrics to infer the dynamics responsible for past and projected changes in subpolar ocean temperatures.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112496AMOCgyreocean heat content
spellingShingle Léon Chafik
M. Susan Lozier
When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
Geophysical Research Letters
AMOC
gyre
ocean heat content
title When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
title_full When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
title_fullStr When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
title_full_unstemmed When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
title_short When Simplification Leads to Ambiguity: A Look at Two Ocean Metrics for the Subpolar North Atlantic
title_sort when simplification leads to ambiguity a look at two ocean metrics for the subpolar north atlantic
topic AMOC
gyre
ocean heat content
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112496
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AT msusanlozier whensimplificationleadstoambiguityalookattwooceanmetricsforthesubpolarnorthatlantic