Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling

Abstract Staphylococcus aureus is a primary cause of many infections in humans, and its rising prevalence and drug resistance are serious public health concerns. While there is evidence that climate change can influence the distribution and abundance of microbial species, the precise effects on S. a...

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Main Authors: Monerah S. M. Alqahtani, Gasser Shahin, Ibrahim T. I. Abdelalim, Sameh M. H. Khalaf
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-87534-2
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author Monerah S. M. Alqahtani
Gasser Shahin
Ibrahim T. I. Abdelalim
Sameh M. H. Khalaf
author_facet Monerah S. M. Alqahtani
Gasser Shahin
Ibrahim T. I. Abdelalim
Sameh M. H. Khalaf
author_sort Monerah S. M. Alqahtani
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Staphylococcus aureus is a primary cause of many infections in humans, and its rising prevalence and drug resistance are serious public health concerns. While there is evidence that climate change can influence the distribution and abundance of microbial species, the precise effects on S. aureus are not well characterized. The purpose of this study is to predict the potential influence of climate change on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus in 2050 and 2070 using GIS and Maxent modeling. S. aureus occurrence data was acquired from global databases and coupled with bioclimatic variables to simulate current and future habitat suitability under several climate change scenarios (RCP 2.6 and 8.5). The Maxent modeling approach was used to forecast geographical patterns of S. aureus distribution, providing insights into locations that may see increased prevalence of this essential species as a result of climate change. The study’s findings can be used to inform public health measures and focused surveillance activities aimed at reducing the burden of Staphylococcus aureus infection.
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spelling doaj-art-efd712d1378a4fc68f1e05c4a1319ad32025-08-20T02:25:37ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-04-0115111010.1038/s41598-025-87534-2Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modelingMonerah S. M. Alqahtani0Gasser Shahin1Ibrahim T. I. Abdelalim2Sameh M. H. Khalaf3Biology Department, Faculty of Science, King Khalid UniversityFaculty of Biotechnology, October University for Modern Sciences & Arts (MSA University)Faculty of Biotechnology, October University for Modern Sciences & Arts (MSA University)Faculty of Biotechnology, October University for Modern Sciences & Arts (MSA University)Abstract Staphylococcus aureus is a primary cause of many infections in humans, and its rising prevalence and drug resistance are serious public health concerns. While there is evidence that climate change can influence the distribution and abundance of microbial species, the precise effects on S. aureus are not well characterized. The purpose of this study is to predict the potential influence of climate change on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus in 2050 and 2070 using GIS and Maxent modeling. S. aureus occurrence data was acquired from global databases and coupled with bioclimatic variables to simulate current and future habitat suitability under several climate change scenarios (RCP 2.6 and 8.5). The Maxent modeling approach was used to forecast geographical patterns of S. aureus distribution, providing insights into locations that may see increased prevalence of this essential species as a result of climate change. The study’s findings can be used to inform public health measures and focused surveillance activities aimed at reducing the burden of Staphylococcus aureus infection.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-87534-2Climate changeOpportunistic pathogenBioclimatic variablesHabitat suitabilityMaxent modeling
spellingShingle Monerah S. M. Alqahtani
Gasser Shahin
Ibrahim T. I. Abdelalim
Sameh M. H. Khalaf
Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
Scientific Reports
Climate change
Opportunistic pathogen
Bioclimatic variables
Habitat suitability
Maxent modeling
title Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
title_full Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
title_fullStr Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
title_short Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling
title_sort evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of staphylococcus aureus rosenbach 1884 due to climate change using maxent modeling
topic Climate change
Opportunistic pathogen
Bioclimatic variables
Habitat suitability
Maxent modeling
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-87534-2
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