Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis

Selection of launchvehicle for a geostationary satellite is an important decision for satelliteoperators. Depending on only to the cost of the launcher may result unexpectedconsequences. Lifetime of the satellite is determined by the orbit parametersof the launcher. Success probability of the launch...

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Main Authors: Şenol Gülgönül, Nedim Sözbir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sakarya University 2018-10-01
Series:Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/477619
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author Şenol Gülgönül
Nedim Sözbir
author_facet Şenol Gülgönül
Nedim Sözbir
author_sort Şenol Gülgönül
collection DOAJ
description Selection of launchvehicle for a geostationary satellite is an important decision for satelliteoperators. Depending on only to the cost of the launcher may result unexpectedconsequences. Lifetime of the satellite is determined by the orbit parametersof the launcher. Success probability of the launcher can be deducedstatistically by previous launches or using the insurance rate of the marketfor the selected launcher. Insurancerate will be used in this study, which is also added to the cost of thesatellite project besides satellite and launcher costs. Design life time ofcommunication satellites are currently 15 years, means that manufacturerwarrant the operation of the satellite for 15 years via performance incentiveor warranty payback mechanisms. But satellites continue to generate revenuesduring their maneuver lifetime, which is more than 15 years. Expected valueanalysis is a powerful tool to include probabilistic nature of satelliteprojects. Satellite and launch costs, insurance rate and lifetime parameterswill be utilized in expected value analysis to be able to select the bestlauncher for a given satellite program.
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issn 2147-835X
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publisher Sakarya University
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series Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-efd0c7bc840a4f238f293cb20b7a72242025-08-20T01:57:40ZengSakarya UniversitySakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi2147-835X2018-10-012251418142210.16984/saufenbilder.34659728Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value AnalysisŞenol GülgönülNedim SözbirSelection of launchvehicle for a geostationary satellite is an important decision for satelliteoperators. Depending on only to the cost of the launcher may result unexpectedconsequences. Lifetime of the satellite is determined by the orbit parametersof the launcher. Success probability of the launcher can be deducedstatistically by previous launches or using the insurance rate of the marketfor the selected launcher. Insurancerate will be used in this study, which is also added to the cost of thesatellite project besides satellite and launcher costs. Design life time ofcommunication satellites are currently 15 years, means that manufacturerwarrant the operation of the satellite for 15 years via performance incentiveor warranty payback mechanisms. But satellites continue to generate revenuesduring their maneuver lifetime, which is more than 15 years. Expected valueanalysis is a powerful tool to include probabilistic nature of satelliteprojects. Satellite and launch costs, insurance rate and lifetime parameterswill be utilized in expected value analysis to be able to select the bestlauncher for a given satellite program.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/477619geostationary satelliteexpected value analysislaunch vehicle selection
spellingShingle Şenol Gülgönül
Nedim Sözbir
Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
geostationary satellite
expected value analysis
launch vehicle selection
title Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
title_full Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
title_fullStr Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
title_short Selection of Geostationary Satellite Launch Vehicle Using Expected Value Analysis
title_sort selection of geostationary satellite launch vehicle using expected value analysis
topic geostationary satellite
expected value analysis
launch vehicle selection
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/477619
work_keys_str_mv AT senolgulgonul selectionofgeostationarysatellitelaunchvehicleusingexpectedvalueanalysis
AT nedimsozbir selectionofgeostationarysatellitelaunchvehicleusingexpectedvalueanalysis