Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia

Morbidity surveys in certain regions during the COVID-19 pandemic have established that the infection spreads in a wave-like manner characterised with peaks and troughs in incidence. According to the analysis of COVID-19 epidemic development in Russia, surges in COVID-19 infections are mainly driven...

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Main Authors: T. E. Sizikova, V. N. Lebedev, S. V. Borisevich
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation. Federal State Budgetary Institution «Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products» 2022-12-01
Series:Биопрепараты: Профилактика, диагностика, лечение
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Online Access:https://www.biopreparations.ru/jour/article/view/460
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author T. E. Sizikova
V. N. Lebedev
S. V. Borisevich
author_facet T. E. Sizikova
V. N. Lebedev
S. V. Borisevich
author_sort T. E. Sizikova
collection DOAJ
description Morbidity surveys in certain regions during the COVID-19 pandemic have established that the infection spreads in a wave-like manner characterised with peaks and troughs in incidence. According to the analysis of COVID-19 epidemic development in Russia, surges in COVID-19 infections are mainly driven by seasonal factors, insufficient herd immunity, and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants with increased transmissibility. The aim of the study was to analyse environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 cases in Russia. The study covers the global epidemiological situation as of mid-2022 and the role of environmental, biological, and social factors in the spread of COVID-19 in the Russian Federation. The results suggest that new highly contagious SARS-CoV-2 variants and seasonality are the principal factors driving new rises in morbidity. The authors assume that the sixth and the seventh COVID-19 waves in Russia will be in line with the best case scenario, which predicts the spread of a SARS-CoV-2 variant with increased transmissibility and reduced virulence.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2221-996X
2619-1156
language Russian
publishDate 2022-12-01
publisher Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation. Federal State Budgetary Institution «Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products»
record_format Article
series Биопрепараты: Профилактика, диагностика, лечение
spelling doaj-art-ef54268676a44a4fb4bdd59db07874d92025-08-20T03:56:23ZrusMinistry of Health of the Russian Federation. Federal State Budgetary Institution «Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products»Биопрепараты: Профилактика, диагностика, лечение2221-996X2619-11562022-12-0122435136010.30895/2221-996X-2022-22-4-351-360302Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in RussiaT. E. Sizikova0V. N. Lebedev1S. V. Borisevich248 Central Research Institute48 Central Research Institute48 Central Research InstituteMorbidity surveys in certain regions during the COVID-19 pandemic have established that the infection spreads in a wave-like manner characterised with peaks and troughs in incidence. According to the analysis of COVID-19 epidemic development in Russia, surges in COVID-19 infections are mainly driven by seasonal factors, insufficient herd immunity, and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants with increased transmissibility. The aim of the study was to analyse environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 cases in Russia. The study covers the global epidemiological situation as of mid-2022 and the role of environmental, biological, and social factors in the spread of COVID-19 in the Russian Federation. The results suggest that new highly contagious SARS-CoV-2 variants and seasonality are the principal factors driving new rises in morbidity. The authors assume that the sixth and the seventh COVID-19 waves in Russia will be in line with the best case scenario, which predicts the spread of a SARS-CoV-2 variant with increased transmissibility and reduced virulence.https://www.biopreparations.ru/jour/article/view/460covid-19sars-cov-2 virusvirus variantherd immunitytransmissibilityvirulence
spellingShingle T. E. Sizikova
V. N. Lebedev
S. V. Borisevich
Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
Биопрепараты: Профилактика, диагностика, лечение
covid-19
sars-cov-2 virus
virus variant
herd immunity
transmissibility
virulence
title Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
title_full Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
title_fullStr Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
title_full_unstemmed Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
title_short Environmental, biological and social factors contributing to new rises in COVID-19 morbidity in Russia
title_sort environmental biological and social factors contributing to new rises in covid 19 morbidity in russia
topic covid-19
sars-cov-2 virus
virus variant
herd immunity
transmissibility
virulence
url https://www.biopreparations.ru/jour/article/view/460
work_keys_str_mv AT tesizikova environmentalbiologicalandsocialfactorscontributingtonewrisesincovid19morbidityinrussia
AT vnlebedev environmentalbiologicalandsocialfactorscontributingtonewrisesincovid19morbidityinrussia
AT svborisevich environmentalbiologicalandsocialfactorscontributingtonewrisesincovid19morbidityinrussia