Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network

The demand of the city of Duhok for electricity is increasing and this requires efforts to provide the required load. Building new electricity generation units and/or importing electricity from neighboring countries are available to fulfill these needs. Therefore, it is vital to have earlier informa...

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Main Author: Warda Husain Ali
Format: Article
Language:Arabic
Published: University of Sulaimania 2025-04-01
Series:Sulaimani Journal for Engineering Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sjes.univsul.edu.iq/article?id=354
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author Warda Husain Ali
author_facet Warda Husain Ali
author_sort Warda Husain Ali
collection DOAJ
description The demand of the city of Duhok for electricity is increasing and this requires efforts to provide the required load. Building new electricity generation units and/or importing electricity from neighboring countries are available to fulfill these needs. Therefore, it is vital to have earlier information about electrical demand. Midterm electrical load forecasting is useful to estimate the required power to be extracted from power systems in a time span of one year. In addition, it provides information that is necessary for planning the maintenance, expansion, and improving system performance of electrical power generation. These have an impact on reducing the operational costs and the emission of power plants through reducing the fuel consumption. Therefore, this paper proposes a medium-term load forecasting based Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and applies it on Duhok city power system. Available data for the power system of the city is used in the ANN to predict the load demand up to the year 2025. Using ANN in forecasting has importance because of its simplicity, easy implementation, yet effective and superior performance.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2410-1699
2415-6655
language Arabic
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher University of Sulaimania
record_format Article
series Sulaimani Journal for Engineering Sciences
spelling doaj-art-eeecd887c8a8470da8fb17f18297f0a82025-08-20T04:00:43ZaraUniversity of SulaimaniaSulaimani Journal for Engineering Sciences2410-16992415-66552025-04-01112314310.17656/sjes.10191Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural NetworkWarda Husain Ali0Sulaimani polytechnic University, College of Engineering, Department of Power and Control Engineering.The demand of the city of Duhok for electricity is increasing and this requires efforts to provide the required load. Building new electricity generation units and/or importing electricity from neighboring countries are available to fulfill these needs. Therefore, it is vital to have earlier information about electrical demand. Midterm electrical load forecasting is useful to estimate the required power to be extracted from power systems in a time span of one year. In addition, it provides information that is necessary for planning the maintenance, expansion, and improving system performance of electrical power generation. These have an impact on reducing the operational costs and the emission of power plants through reducing the fuel consumption. Therefore, this paper proposes a medium-term load forecasting based Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and applies it on Duhok city power system. Available data for the power system of the city is used in the ANN to predict the load demand up to the year 2025. Using ANN in forecasting has importance because of its simplicity, easy implementation, yet effective and superior performance.https://sjes.univsul.edu.iq/article?id=354artificial neural networkduhok city power systemkrpsmedium-term load forecasting.
spellingShingle Warda Husain Ali
Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
Sulaimani Journal for Engineering Sciences
artificial neural network
duhok city power system
krps
medium-term load forecasting.
title Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
title_full Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
title_fullStr Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
title_short Average Midterm Electrical Load Forecasting for Duhok City Based on Artificial Neural Network
title_sort average midterm electrical load forecasting for duhok city based on artificial neural network
topic artificial neural network
duhok city power system
krps
medium-term load forecasting.
url https://sjes.univsul.edu.iq/article?id=354
work_keys_str_mv AT wardahusainali averagemidtermelectricalloadforecastingforduhokcitybasedonartificialneuralnetwork