Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin

Extreme precipitation events can trigger many natural disasters like floods, mudslides, and landslides. Understanding historical changes in extreme precipitation is critical for disaster prevention and risk assessment. The Mekong River Basin (MB) is vulnerable to natural disasters related to extreme...

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Main Authors: Lu Liu, Peng Bai, Changming Liu, Wei Tian, Kang Liang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8874869
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author Lu Liu
Peng Bai
Changming Liu
Wei Tian
Kang Liang
author_facet Lu Liu
Peng Bai
Changming Liu
Wei Tian
Kang Liang
author_sort Lu Liu
collection DOAJ
description Extreme precipitation events can trigger many natural disasters like floods, mudslides, and landslides. Understanding historical changes in extreme precipitation is critical for disaster prevention and risk assessment. The Mekong River Basin (MB) is vulnerable to natural disasters related to extreme precipitation. In the past ten years, the MB has experienced some destructive extreme precipitation events. Our concern is whether the historical extreme precipitation events in the MB have increased in a warming climate. This study investigates the spatiotemporal changes in extreme precipitation in the MB from 1951 to 2015 using a high-quality precipitation product and eight indices of extreme precipitation. These indices consistently indicate that the trend in extreme precipitation in the Upper Mekong Basin (UMB) is opposite to that in the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB). Extreme precipitation has generally decreased in the UMB but increased in the LMB. The areas with significant increasing extreme precipitation are mainly located in Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The areas with a statistically significant decline in extreme precipitation primarily occur in the Lancang (China’s section of the Mekong river) and Thailand. Also, the magnitude of changes in extreme precipitation is significantly larger in the LMB than that in the UMB, which potentially increases flooding risks in the LMB. The findings from this study are useful for guiding disaster-prevention efforts in the MB.
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language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
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series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-eeb55397bd2f4a26ab567cf21b23d4e62025-02-03T01:04:29ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172020-01-01202010.1155/2020/88748698874869Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong BasinLu Liu0Peng Bai1Changming Liu2Wei Tian3Kang Liang4Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaExtreme precipitation events can trigger many natural disasters like floods, mudslides, and landslides. Understanding historical changes in extreme precipitation is critical for disaster prevention and risk assessment. The Mekong River Basin (MB) is vulnerable to natural disasters related to extreme precipitation. In the past ten years, the MB has experienced some destructive extreme precipitation events. Our concern is whether the historical extreme precipitation events in the MB have increased in a warming climate. This study investigates the spatiotemporal changes in extreme precipitation in the MB from 1951 to 2015 using a high-quality precipitation product and eight indices of extreme precipitation. These indices consistently indicate that the trend in extreme precipitation in the Upper Mekong Basin (UMB) is opposite to that in the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB). Extreme precipitation has generally decreased in the UMB but increased in the LMB. The areas with significant increasing extreme precipitation are mainly located in Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The areas with a statistically significant decline in extreme precipitation primarily occur in the Lancang (China’s section of the Mekong river) and Thailand. Also, the magnitude of changes in extreme precipitation is significantly larger in the LMB than that in the UMB, which potentially increases flooding risks in the LMB. The findings from this study are useful for guiding disaster-prevention efforts in the MB.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8874869
spellingShingle Lu Liu
Peng Bai
Changming Liu
Wei Tian
Kang Liang
Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
Advances in Meteorology
title Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
title_full Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
title_fullStr Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
title_full_unstemmed Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
title_short Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Mekong Basin
title_sort changes in extreme precipitation in the mekong basin
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8874869
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AT pengbai changesinextremeprecipitationinthemekongbasin
AT changmingliu changesinextremeprecipitationinthemekongbasin
AT weitian changesinextremeprecipitationinthemekongbasin
AT kangliang changesinextremeprecipitationinthemekongbasin