AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new type of virus that has been found to have infected human since it first appeared in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the risk zone status of COVID-19 spread in Indonesia using ordinal logistic regress...

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Main Authors: Tessya Mutiara Dewi, Rosita Kusumawati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Pattimura 2022-09-01
Series:Barekeng
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Online Access:https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/5751
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author Tessya Mutiara Dewi
Rosita Kusumawati
author_facet Tessya Mutiara Dewi
Rosita Kusumawati
author_sort Tessya Mutiara Dewi
collection DOAJ
description Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new type of virus that has been found to have infected human since it first appeared in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the risk zone status of COVID-19 spread in Indonesia using ordinal logistic regression. The ordinal logistic regression model in this study uses proportional odds model because the researcher assumes probability of predictor variable coefficients is the same for each respond category. The response variable is secondary data from the COVID-19 Handling Task Force, namely the status of the risk zone for the spread of COVID-19 who has 4 categorical levels, namely high, medium, low, and no cases. Predictor variables are elderly population, COVID-19 referral hospital, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hand washing behavior, male population, and smoking habits. Based on results of the analysis, variables that significantly affect the risk zone status of COVID-19 spread in Indonesia are elderly population and diabetes mellitus. The Odds proportional figure shows that the higher percentage of the elderly population, the higher chance of an area with high-risk zone status (OR=1.171). The higher percentage of comorbidities diabetes mellitus, the higher chance of an area with high-risk zone status (OR=1.569).
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spelling doaj-art-ee87b4925b5d4583b8a30704512e52d32025-08-20T03:36:12ZengUniversitas PattimuraBarekeng1978-72272615-30172022-09-0116385386010.30598/barekengvol16iss3pp853-8605751AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREADTessya Mutiara Dewi0Rosita Kusumawati1Mathematics Department, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri YogyakartaMathematics Department, FMIPA, Universitas Negeri YogyakartaCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new type of virus that has been found to have infected human since it first appeared in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the risk zone status of COVID-19 spread in Indonesia using ordinal logistic regression. The ordinal logistic regression model in this study uses proportional odds model because the researcher assumes probability of predictor variable coefficients is the same for each respond category. The response variable is secondary data from the COVID-19 Handling Task Force, namely the status of the risk zone for the spread of COVID-19 who has 4 categorical levels, namely high, medium, low, and no cases. Predictor variables are elderly population, COVID-19 referral hospital, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hand washing behavior, male population, and smoking habits. Based on results of the analysis, variables that significantly affect the risk zone status of COVID-19 spread in Indonesia are elderly population and diabetes mellitus. The Odds proportional figure shows that the higher percentage of the elderly population, the higher chance of an area with high-risk zone status (OR=1.171). The higher percentage of comorbidities diabetes mellitus, the higher chance of an area with high-risk zone status (OR=1.569).https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/5751ordinal logistic regressionrisk zone covid-19
spellingShingle Tessya Mutiara Dewi
Rosita Kusumawati
AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
Barekeng
ordinal logistic regression
risk zone covid-19
title AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
title_full AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
title_fullStr AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
title_full_unstemmed AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
title_short AN ORDINAL LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING RISK ZONE STATUS OF COVID-19 SPREAD
title_sort ordinal logistic regression model for analyzing risk zone status of covid 19 spread
topic ordinal logistic regression
risk zone covid-19
url https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/5751
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